Mes Kerman - Saipa prediction 22/09/2026

Our Mes Kerman vs Saipa prediction for the Azadegan League match on Sep 22, 2026, answers the question who will win. Based on the latest stats, bookmakers' odds, and head-to-head record, Saipa is the favourite with a 33% win probability, while the draw stands at 45% and a Mes Kerman victory at 22%.

Team Form

Mes Kerman come into this match with a streak of five straight draws. Their last five results in the league read D, D, D, D, D – every match ending level, most recently a 1-1 draw at Fard Alborz FC on Sep 15. They have one point from one match so far this season.

Saipa’s form is much stronger, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings (W, L, W, D, W). Their most recent match was a 2-0 away win at Navad Urmia FC on Jul 11. The team has started the season well, collecting three points from a single game.

Head-to-Head Record

The last six meetings between Mes Kerman and Saipa show a slight edge for Saipa: two wins for the away side, one win for Mes Kerman, and three draws. The most recent clash, on Jan 20, 2026, ended in a 1-0 win for Mes Kerman. Before that, a 0-0 draw on Aug 28, 2025, and a 0-1 Saipa victory on May 12, 2025. Historically, the head-to-head numbers point to tight games, with a draw being a frequent outcome.

League Table Positions

Saipa sit 3rd in the Azadegan League table with three points from one match (one win). Mes Kerman are 8th with one point from their single match (one draw). The league table underline Saipa’s better start, while Mes Kerman are still searching for their first victory of the campaign.

Win Probability: Mes Kerman or Saipa?

We calculate the win probability for Mes Kerman at 22%, a draw at 45%, and a Saipa victory at 33%. These percentages are derived from the bookmakers’ odds – which heavily favour the draw – and then adjusted using the team form, league positions, and the head-to-head record. Saipa’s superior recent results and better table standing give them the edge as the team more likely to win, but the draw rate of Mes Kerman and the defensive style of both sides make a stalemate the single most probable result.

Odds & Match Prediction

The average odds from available bookmakers are: Mes Kerman win 4.05, draw 1.78, and Saipa win 3.15. These numbers imply a clear market expectation of a low‑scoring, tight match. Given the factual data – Mes Kerman’s five draws in a row, Saipa’s away wins, and a balanced head‑to‑head – our Mes Kerman vs Saipa prediction is that Saipa has the better chance of taking all three points, but a draw cannot be ruled out. Betting tips based on this analysis would lean towards a Saipa or draw double chance, or under 2.5 goals.