San Martin de San Juan Reserves - Deportivo Riestra Reserves prediction 14/10/2026

Our San Martin de San Juan Reserves vs Deportivo Riestra Reserves prediction for the Liga Profesional Reserves match on October 14, 2026, points to an away win. Deportivo Riestra Reserves comes in as the favorite with a 58% win probability, while San Martin de San Juan Reserves has a 20% chance and the draw sits at 22%.

Team Form

San Martin de San Juan Reserves is in a deep slump. They have lost four of their last five matches and managed just one draw. Their last five results read L, L, L, L, D. In that run they conceded 11 goals and scored only 3, with a 4-0 loss at Newells Old Boys Reserves and a 3-2 defeat at CA Belgrano Cordoba Reserve standing out. They have not won a match since July.

Deportivo Riestra Reserves is in excellent shape. Their last five results are W, W, W, L, W. They scored 12 goals in those five games, including a 3-1 home win over Independiente Rivadavia Reserves and a 4-1 home win over CA Lanus Reserves. The only recent loss was a 2-1 away defeat at CA Belgrano Cordoba Reserve. This strong form makes them the clear favorite in any San Martin de San Juan Reserves vs Deportivo Riestra Reserves betting tips.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice before. San Martin de San Juan Reserves has 1 win, Deportivo Riestra Reserves has 0 wins, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent head-to-head match was on May 14, 2026, when Deportivo Riestra Reserves hosted San Martin de San Juan Reserves and the game ended 2-2. The earlier meeting was on July 24, 2025, when San Martin de San Juan Reserves won 1-0 at home. The H2H record is close, but current form heavily favors the away side.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall Liga Profesional Reserves standings provided. The table is led by Velez Sarsfield Reserves with 47 points. The home and away standings also do not feature either side in the top 8. This suggests both teams are in the lower half of the table, but Deportivo Riestra Reserves' recent winning run indicates they are climbing and in much better match rhythm than the hosts.

Win Probability: San Martin de San Juan Reserves or Deportivo Riestra Reserves?

Based on the available odds, team form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probability as follows: Deportivo Riestra Reserves has a 58% chance to win, the draw is at 22%, and San Martin de San Juan Reserves has a 20% chance. The odds from bookmakers show Deportivo Riestra Reserves as the favorite, with the best away odds around 1.48 to 1.80. San Martin de San Juan Reserves' poor form - four losses in five games - drags their chances down. The away team's four wins in five games, including three on the road, strongly supports the high away win probability. The head-to-head is balanced, but current momentum is the deciding factor. In short, Deportivo Riestra Reserves is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 betting odds for this match show Deportivo Riestra Reserves as the clear favorite. The available odds from different bookmakers are: home win at 5.50, draw at 2.30, away win at 1.80; home 5.30, draw 3.85, away 1.49; home 5.00, draw 4.33, away 1.48. One bookmaker has a different market with home 1.12, draw 1.17, away 1.12, which appears to be an outlier. Based on the stats, our match prediction is an away win for Deportivo Riestra Reserves. The odds and the team form both point in the same direction. For betting tips, the away win offers value, and the total goals could be over 2.5 given the visitors' scoring record and the hosts' defensive struggles.