Central Norte Argentino - San Martin Margarita Belen prediction 07/10/2026

The Central Norte Argentino vs San Martin Margarita Belen prediction looks at the Regional League match on Oct 7, 2026 at 21:00. Central Norte Argentino is the favorite with a 52% win probability, while San Martin Margarita Belen has a 22% chance to win and the draw sits at 26%.

Team Form

Central Norte Argentino comes into this match in strong shape. Their last five results are W, W, D, W, W. In their most recent match on Aug 14, they beat Don Orione 1-0. Before that, they won 2-1 away at Parque Patricios on Jul 31. The only recent slip was a 1-1 draw at home against this same opponent, San Martin Margarita Belen, on Jul 12.

San Martin Margarita Belen also shows good recent form with results of W, W, W, D, L. They are coming off a big 6-0 home win over Deportivo Policiales on Sep 2. They also won 2-0 away at Villa Alvear on Aug 16 and 3-2 away at Comercio Resistencia on Jul 29. Their last loss was back in Dec 2025 against Estudiantes Resistencia Chaco.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is limited but favors Central Norte Argentino. In two previous meetings, Central Norte Argentino has 1 win and 1 draw. San Martin Margarita Belen has not won. The most recent match was on Jul 12, 2026, a 1-1 draw in the Regional League. The earlier match, on Jul 12, 2025, ended in a 1-0 home win for Central Norte Argentino.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in the Regional League in Argentina. The JSON data does not include current league table positions or points, so we cannot compare their exact standings. However, the recent form of both sides suggests they are near the top of the table. Central Norte Argentino's consistency at home gives them a slight edge.

Win Probability: Central Norte Argentino or San Martin Margarita Belen?

Who will win this match? Based on the available data, we calculate the win probability as follows: Central Norte Argentino has a 52% chance to win, the draw is at 26%, and San Martin Margarita Belen has a 22% chance. This calculation uses the bookmaker odds as a base (inverse of 2.05, 3.20, and 3.10, normalized to remove the margin) and adjusts for the strong home form of Central Norte Argentino (four wins in five) and their unbeaten head-to-head record. San Martin Margarita Belen's away form is good, but the history between these sides points to a home advantage. Central Norte Argentino is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds from bookmakers show Central Norte Argentino as the favorite. The 1X2 market prices a home win at 2.05, a draw at 3.20, and an away win for San Martin Margarita Belen at 3.10. These Central Norte Argentino vs San Martin Margarita Belen odds reflect the home team's better head-to-head record and recent results. Based on the stats, our match prediction is a home win, but the draw is a real possibility given the 1-1 result when these teams last met. For betting tips, the home win offers value, while the under 2.5 goals market could also be worth a look based on the low-scoring history between them.