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Sao Paulo SP - Santos SP prediction 02/10/2026

Brazil · Serie A·

Match info

Competição
Serie A · Brazil
Início
Árbitro
Matheus Delgado Candancan

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Sao Paulo SP

Sao Paulo SPVasco da Gama RJ10VSerie A

Sao Paulo SPVitoria BA21VSerie A

Cruzeiro MGSao Paulo SP20DSerie A

Sao Paulo SPSantos SP12DSerie A

Sao Paulo SPInternacional RS10VSerie A
Santos SP

Fluminense RJSantos SP12VSerie A

Atletico Mineiro MGSantos SP21DSerie A

Santos SPFlamengo RJ22ESerie A

Sao Paulo SPSantos SP12VSerie A

Remo PASantos SP12VSerie A

Confronto direto

24 confrontos
Sao Paulo SP 10Empates 77 Santos SP

Sao Paulo SPSantos SP12Serie A

Santos SPSao Paulo SP11Serie A

Sao Paulo SPSantos SP20Campeonato Paulista

Santos SPSao Paulo SP10Serie A

Sao Paulo SPSantos SP21Serie A

Santos SPSao Paulo SP31Campeonato Paulista

Sao Paulo SPSantos SP01Campeonato Paulista

Santos SPSao Paulo SP00Serie A

Sao Paulo SPSantos SP41Serie A

Sao Paulo SPSantos SP31Campeonato Paulista

Serie A 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Flamengo RJ31207461:2567
2Palmeiras SP31199354:2266
3Atletico Paranaense PR31158849:3753
4Cruzeiro MG311561050:4651
5Fluminense31149849:3951
6Atletico Mineiro MG31148942:3550
7Bahia BA311310844:3949
8Santos311291048:4645
9Sao Paulo SP311261336:3542
10Red Bull Bragantino SP311181239:3641
11Botafogo RJ311091244:4839
12Coritiba PR311091238:4939
13Vitoria BA311071434:4537
14Mirassol SP31991336:4436
15Vasco DA Gama30981336:4335
16Corinthians SP31891432:3933
17Internacional RS317111333:4032
18Gremio RS317101434:4431
19Remo PA315111534:4926
20Chapecoense-sc30391830:6218

The Sao Paulo SP vs Santos SP prediction for October 2, 2026 is here. This Serie A match at Estádio do Morumbi kicks off at 20:00 local time. Based on the latest odds and team form, Sao Paulo SP enters as the favorite with a 52% win probability.

Team Form

Sao Paulo SP's recent form has been mixed. In their last five matches across all competitions, they recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses. They beat Internacional RS 1-0 at home and Atletico Mineiro MG 2-0 at home, but lost 2-0 away to Palmeiras SP and 1-0 away to Boca Juniors. A 1-1 home draw against Boca Juniors completes the run.

Santos SP comes into this match in stronger form with four wins and one loss in their last five. They secured away wins against Remo PA (2-1) and Internacional RS (3-2), plus home victories over Cruzeiro MG (2-1) and Atletico Mineiro MG (2-0). Their only setback was a 4-2 away defeat to Atletico Mineiro MG in the Copa Sudamericana.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides shows Sao Paulo SP with 10 wins, Santos SP with 6, and 7 draws in their history. The most recent meeting was on February 4, 2026, a 1-1 draw at Santos SP's ground. Before that, Sao Paulo SP won 2-0 at home in the Campeonato Paulista on January 31, 2026. In the last five clashes, Sao Paulo SP won twice, Santos SP won twice, and one match ended level.

League Table Positions

In the Serie A standings, Santos SP sits 8th with 38 points from 27 matches (10 wins, 8 draws, 9 losses). Sao Paulo SP is 11th with 36 points from 27 games (10 wins, 6 draws, 11 losses). At home, Sao Paulo SP is much stronger - ranked 6th with 27 points from 13 home matches (8 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). Santos SP's away form places them 7th with 16 points from 13 road games (4 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses).

Win Probability: Sao Paulo SP or Santos SP?

Who will win Sao Paulo SP vs Santos SP? We calculate the win probability based on odds, form, and league positions. Sao Paulo SP has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Santos SP has a 20% chance. The home advantage at Estádio do Morumbi is a key factor - Sao Paulo SP has lost only 2 of 13 home league games. Santos SP's recent away form is decent but inconsistent. The head-to-head record slightly favors the home side, and bookmakers' odds confirm Sao Paulo SP as the favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match see a home win priced at 1.98, a draw at 2.08, and an away win at 3.60. Other bookmakers offer similar lines, with the home win around 2.00 to 2.05 and the draw between 2.15 and 3.25. Based on the stats, our Sao Paulo SP vs Santos SP prediction is a home win. The combination of strong home form and the visitors' vulnerability on the road makes Sao Paulo SP the more likely winner, though a draw is a realistic possibility given the tight head-to-head history.

Sao Paulo SP vs Santos SP - FAQ

Who will win Sao Paulo SP vs Santos SP?
Sao Paulo SP is the favorite to win with a 52% probability. The draw has a 28% chance, and Santos SP has a 20% chance. Home advantage and a strong record at Estádio do Morumbi give Sao Paulo SP the edge.
What is the win probability for Sao Paulo SP?
Sao Paulo SP has a 52% chance to win this match. This is based on their excellent home form (8 wins in 13 home games) and odds from bookmakers who price them around 2.00 to win.
When is the Sao Paulo SP vs Santos SP match?
The match is on October 2, 2026, at 20:00 local time. It is a Serie A fixture and will be played at Estádio do Morumbi in São Paulo.
What are the odds for Sao Paulo SP vs Santos SP?
The odds for this match show a home win for Sao Paulo SP at 1.98, a draw at 2.08, and an away win for Santos SP at 3.60. Other bookmakers have similar prices, with the home win around 2.00 to 2.05.