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Gremio Novorizontino SP - Sao Bernardo SP prediction 25/09/2026

Brazil · Serie B·

Match info

Competição
Serie B · Brazil
Início
Árbitro
Lucas Canetto Bellote

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Gremio Novorizontino SP

Vila Nova GOGremio Novorizontino SP22ESerie B

Gremio Novorizontino SPPonte Preta SP51VSerie B

Nautico PEGremio Novorizontino SP02VSerie B

Gremio Novorizontino SPGoias GO30VSerie B

Gremio Novorizontino SPSao Bernardo SP00ESerie B
Sao Bernardo SP

Sao Bernardo SPCriciuma SC01DSerie B

Juventude RSSao Bernardo SP22ESerie B

Sport Recife PESao Bernardo SP21DSerie B

Sao Bernardo SPCRB AL31VSerie B

Gremio Novorizontino SPSao Bernardo SP00ESerie B

Escalações

confirmada
Gremio Novorizontino SP · Formação 4-2-3-1 · jogadores por posição
14Brock
93Jordi
30Careca
6Oyama
22Alvariño
10Romulo
18Naldi
26Bahia
41Reidiney
11Robson
5Sander

Gremio Novorizontino SP

Titulares
  • 14Eduardo BrockBrazilD
  • 93JordiBrazilG
  • 30Nicolas CarecaBrazilM
  • 6Luis OyamaBrazilM
  • 22A. AlvariñoArgentinaD
  • 10RomuloBrazilM
  • 18Léo NaldiBrazilM
  • 26Gabriel BahiaBrazilD
  • 41ReidineyM
  • 11RobsonBrazilF
  • 5SanderBrazilD
Reservas
  • 28MarlonBrazilM
  • 16ViníciusBrazilF
  • 24J. LoraPeruD
  • 50JuninhoBrazilM
  • 27Diego MathiasBrazilF
  • 8C. OrtízArgentinaF
  • 31CésarBrazilG
  • 19Diego GaloM
  • 15TavinhoBrazilF
  • 66MaykonBrazilD
  • 3CarlinhosD
  • 9CarlãoBrazilF

Sao Bernardo SP

Titulares
  • 8FoguinhoBrazilM
  • 2Rodrigo FerreiraBrazilM
  • 26EduardoBrazilM
  • 3HélderBrazilD
  • 33Mário SérgioBrazilM
  • 11Pedro VitorBrazilF
  • 97AugustoBrazilD
  • 29PedrinhoBrazilF
  • 1Alex AlvesBrazilG
  • 9Felipe GarciaBrazilF
  • 35JemersonBrazilD
Reservas
  • 10Fabrício DanielBrazilF
  • 6LuizãoBrazilD
  • 27EchaporãBrazilF
  • 31Lucas FernandesBrazilM
  • 77MarcãoBrazilM
  • 37D. DaviF
  • 12Júnior OliveiraBrazilG
  • 6ParáBrazilD
  • 17RomissonBrazilM
  • 14Lucas LimaBrazilM
  • 21Hugo SanchesBrazilD
  • 42HyoranBrazilM

Confronto direto

5 confrontos
Gremio Novorizontino SP 2Empates 30 Sao Bernardo SP

Gremio Novorizontino SPSao Bernardo SP00Serie B

Sao Bernardo SPGremio Novorizontino SP11Serie B

Gremio Novorizontino SPSao Bernardo SP21Campeonato Paulista

Sao Bernardo SPGremio Novorizontino SP11Campeonato Paulista

Gremio Novorizontino SPSao Bernardo SP32Campeonato Paulista

Serie B 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Vila Nova GO34188848:3362
2Gremio Novorizontino SP341710761:3061
3Juventude RS341710741:2361
4Fortaleza CE341612641:2960
5Criciuma SC34178935:2859
6Atletico Goianiense GO341412842:3254
7CRB341571251:4852
8Sport Recife PE341312945:3751
9Goias GO341471334:4049
10Operario PR341391244:4648
11Cuiaba MT341114932:2747
12Sao Bernardo SP3412101246:3746
13Botafogo SP341281438:3844
14Athletic Club3410141040:3944
15Nautico PE3411101339:4243
16Ceara CE3411101337:4243
17Avai341071733:4337
18Londrina PR34881843:4932
19America Mineiro MG34552422:5420
20Ponte Preta SP34352619:7414

Gremio Novorizontino SP vs Sao Bernardo SP prediction for the Serie B match on Sep 25, 2026, at 19:30. Based on the stats, Gremio Novorizontino SP is the favorite with a 55% win probability, while Sao Bernardo SP has a 20% chance and the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

Gremio Novorizontino SP comes into this match with strong recent form: three wins, one draw, and one loss in the last five games (W, W, W, D, L). They beat Sport Recife PE 2-1, Avai SC 3-1, and Botafogo SP 3-1, drew 1-1 with Cuiaba MT, and lost 2-1 to Ceara CE. At home, they have been solid, scoring 23 goals in 14 league matches.

Sao Bernardo SP has been inconsistent lately, with two wins, two losses, and one win in their last five (W, L, W, L, W). They beat Atletico Goianiense GO 1-0 and America Mineiro MG 2-0, but lost to Londrina PR 1-2 and Goias GO 1-2. As the best away team in the league, they have 8 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses on the road, scoring 24 goals.

Head-to-Head Record

Gremio Novorizontino SP has never lost to Sao Bernardo SP in four previous meetings: 2 wins and 2 draws. The most recent clash on May 31, 2026, ended 1-1 in Serie B. Earlier in 2026, Gremio Novorizontino SP won 2-1 in the Campeonato Paulista. The H2H record clearly favors the home side.

League Table Positions

Gremio Novorizontino SP sits 2nd in the Serie B table with 50 points from 29 matches (14 wins, 8 draws, 7 losses). They have scored 49 goals and conceded 27. Sao Bernardo SP is 11th with 41 points (11 wins, 8 draws, 10 losses), scoring 40 and conceding 31. The home team is 9 points ahead and in promotion contention, while the visitors are mid-table.

Win Probability: Gremio Novorizontino SP or Sao Bernardo SP?

After analyzing the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities: Gremio Novorizontino SP 55%, draw 25%, Sao Bernardo SP 20%. The home team's superior H2H, higher league standing, and recent form give them a clear edge. However, Sao Bernardo SP's strong away record (best in the league) prevents a higher probability for the home side.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Gremio Novorizontino SP as the clear favorite, with average odds around 1.55 for a home win. The draw is priced at about 2.35, and an away win for Sao Bernardo SP is around 5.00. Our Gremio Novorizontino SP vs Sao Bernardo SP prediction aligns with the odds: the home team is more likely to win, but the draw is a real possibility given the visitors' away form. A 1-0 or 2-1 victory for Gremio Novorizontino SP is the most probable outcome.

Gremio Novorizontino SP vs Sao Bernardo SP – FAQ

Who will win Gremio Novorizontino SP vs Sao Bernardo SP?
Gremio Novorizontino SP has a 55% chance to win, the draw is at 25%, and Sao Bernardo SP has a 20% chance. The home team is the favorite based on H2H record, league position, and recent form.
What is the win probability for Gremio Novorizontino SP?
Gremio Novorizontino SP has a 55% win probability. This is due to their 2nd place in the table, a perfect H2H record (2 wins, 2 draws), and three wins in the last five matches.
When is the Gremio Novorizontino SP vs Sao Bernardo SP match?
The match is on Sep 25, 2026, at 19:30 local time. It is a Serie B fixture in Brazil.
What are the odds for the match?
The average odds are 1.55 for a Gremio Novorizontino SP win, 2.35 for a draw, and 5.00 for a Sao Bernardo SP win. These odds reflect the home team's strong favorite status.