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Sao Bernardo SP - Vila Nova GO prediction 24/10/2026

Brazil · Serie B·
Probabilidade de vitóriapelas odds 1X2
Sao Bernardo SP 28%Empate 39%33% Vila Nova GO

Match info

Competição
Serie B · Brazil
Início
Árbitro
Alex Gomes Stefano

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Sao Bernardo SP

Sao Bernardo SPCriciuma SC01DSerie B

Juventude RSSao Bernardo SP22ESerie B

Sport Recife PESao Bernardo SP21DSerie B

Sao Bernardo SPCRB AL31VSerie B

Gremio Novorizontino SPSao Bernardo SP00ESerie B
Vila Nova GO

Vila Nova GOGremio Novorizontino SP22ESerie B

Nautico PEVila Nova GO02VSerie B

Vila Nova GOCuiaba MT00ESerie B

Botafogo SPVila Nova GO01VSerie B

Vila Nova GOLondrina PR20VSerie B

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Confronto direto

1 confrontos
Sao Bernardo SP 0Empates 01 Vila Nova GO

Vila Nova GOSao Bernardo SP21Serie B

Serie B 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Vila Nova GO34188848:3362
2Gremio Novorizontino SP341710761:3061
3Juventude RS341710741:2361
4Fortaleza CE341612641:2960
5Criciuma SC34178935:2859
6Atletico Goianiense GO341412842:3254
7CRB341571251:4852
8Sport Recife PE341312945:3751
9Goias GO341471334:4049
10Operario PR341391244:4648
11Cuiaba MT341114932:2747
12Sao Bernardo SP3412101246:3746
13Botafogo SP341281438:3844
14Athletic Club3410141040:3944
15Nautico PE3411101339:4243
16Ceara CE3411101337:4243
17Avai341071733:4337
18Londrina PR34881843:4932
19America Mineiro MG34552422:5420
20Ponte Preta SP34352619:7414

The Sao Bernardo SP vs Vila Nova GO prediction for October 24, 2026, in Brazil's Serie B points to an away win, with Vila Nova GO holding a 40% win probability. The match kicks off at 16:30 local time, and the league leaders arrive as the favorite based on form and standings.

Team Form

Sao Bernardo SP come into this match with mixed results in their last five games: one win, two draws, and two losses. They lost 0-1 at home to Criciuma SC, drew 2-2 away at Juventude RS, lost 1-2 at Sport Recife PE, beat CRB AL 3-1 at home, and drew 0-0 at Gremio Novorizontino SP. That form shows inconsistency, especially at home where they have only four wins in 16 league matches.

Vila Nova GO are in much stronger shape, unbeaten in their last five with three wins and two draws. They drew 2-2 at home with Gremio Novorizontino SP, won 2-0 away at Nautico PE, drew 0-0 at home with Cuiaba MT, won 1-0 away at Botafogo SP, and beat Londrina PR 2-0 at home. The away side has been solid on the road and carries momentum into this fixture.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these teams was on July 6, 2026, in Serie B. Vila Nova GO won that match 2-1 at home. So the head-to-head record gives a small psychological edge to the visitors.

League Table Positions

Vila Nova GO sit top of the Serie B table with 61 points from 33 matches (18 wins, 7 draws, 8 losses). Sao Bernardo SP are 12th with 46 points (12 wins, 10 draws, 11 losses). At home, Sao Bernardo SP have a record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while Vila Nova GO's away record is 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses. The gap in overall quality is clear, even if both sides have similar home/away numbers.

Win Probability: Sao Bernardo SP or Vila Nova GO?

After analyzing the odds, recent form, head-to-head, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Sao Bernardo SP 30%, draw 30%, Vila Nova GO 40%. The bookmaker odds implied a high chance of a draw, but Vila Nova GO's superior form and top-of-the-table status tilt the balance in their favor. The home side's weak home record further supports an away win as the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The average pre-match odds are: Sao Bernardo SP win at 2.69, draw at 2.29, and Vila Nova GO win at 2.98. Bookmakers see a tight contest with the draw as the single most probable result. However, our Sao Bernardo SP vs Vila Nova GO prediction is an away win. A draw is a very realistic alternative, but based on the stats, Vila Nova GO have the edge.

Sao Bernardo SP vs Vila Nova GO – FAQ

Who will win Sao Bernardo SP vs Vila Nova GO?
Vila Nova GO has a 40% chance to win, Sao Bernardo SP has a 30% chance, and the draw is at 30%. Based on current form and league position, Vila Nova GO is the favorite to take all three points.
What is the win probability for Vila Nova GO?
Vila Nova GO has a 40% win probability. This is based on their strong recent form (unbeaten in five), top spot in the Serie B table, and a head-to-head win earlier this season.
When is the Sao Bernardo SP vs Vila Nova GO match?
The match is on October 24, 2026, at 16:30 local time. It is a Serie B fixture in Brazil.
What are the odds for the match?
The average odds are: Sao Bernardo SP win 2.69, draw 2.29, and Vila Nova GO win 2.98. These numbers suggest a close game with the draw as a strong possibility.
What is the head-to-head record between Sao Bernardo SP and Vila Nova GO?
The teams have met once before, on July 6, 2026. Vila Nova GO won that match 2-1 at home, so they lead the head-to-head 1-0.