Match info
- Competição
- Serie A · Brazil
- Início
- Árbitro
- Wilton Sampaio
Forma recente
últimos 5 jogos
Cruzeiro MGGremio RSCruzeiro MG24VSerie A
Red Bull Bragantino SPCruzeiro MG42DSerie A
Cruzeiro MGSao Paulo SP20VSerie A
Vitoria BACruzeiro MG13VSerie A
Santos SPCruzeiro MG21DSerie A
Sao Paulo SPSao Paulo SPVasco da Gama RJ10VSerie A
Sao Paulo SPVitoria BA21VSerie A
Cruzeiro MGSao Paulo SP20DSerie A
Sao Paulo SPSantos SP12DSerie A
Sao Paulo SPInternacional RS10VSerie A
Escalações
confirmadaCruzeiro MG · Formação 4-2-3-1 · jogadores por posiçãoCruzeiro MG
- 19Kaio JorgeBrazilF
- 29L. RomeroArgentinaM
- 12WilliamBrazilD
- 10Matheus PereiraBrazilM
- 8GersonBrazilM
- 81Otávio Eleodoro Rezende CostaBrazilG
- 34JonathanBrazilD
- 43João MarceloBrazilD
- 38Felipe MoraisM
- 27G. RojasArgentinaD
- 9Bruno RodriguesBrazilM
- 16Lucas SilvaBrazilM
- 1CássioBrazilG
- 7Matheus HenriqueBrazilM
- 23FágnerBrazilD
- 97L. RodríguezUruguayF
- 11MarquinhosBrazilF
- 20Wesley GassovaBrazilF
- 99K. ArroyoEcuadorF
- 5Zé LucasBrazilM
- 6M. ViñaUruguayD
- 2Kauã MoraesBrazilD
Sao Paulo SP
- 37ArturBrazilF
- 16D. BobadillaParaguayF
- 5R. ArboledaEcuadorD
- 2R. TolóiItalyD
- 29Pablo MaiaBrazilM
- 32Pedro LimaBrazilM
- 9J. CalleriArgentinaF
- 31Carlos CoronelParaguayG
- 8Marcos AntônioBrazilM
- 35SabinoBrazilD
- 18WendellBrazilM
- 11FerreiraBrazilF
- 28NewtonBrazilM
- 17André SilvaBrazilF
- 49Ryan FranciscoBrazilF
- 46Pedro FerreiraBrazilM
- 43G. SantanaF
- 48D. FerreiraM
- 54Osorio LuisD
- 27Victor SáBrazilF
- 19Lucas RamonBrazilD
Confronto direto
16 confrontosCruzeiro MGSao Paulo SP20Serie A
Sao Paulo SPCruzeiro MG41Serie A
Cruzeiro MGSao Paulo SP10Serie A
Sao Paulo SPCruzeiro MG11Serie A
Cruzeiro MGSao Paulo SP11Friendly Clubs
Sao Paulo SPCruzeiro MG10Serie A
Cruzeiro MGSao Paulo SP10Serie A
Sao Paulo SPCruzeiro MG10Serie A
Sao Paulo SPCruzeiro MG10Serie A
Cruzeiro MGSao Paulo SP02Serie A
Serie A 2026 · classificação
| # | Time | J | V | E | D | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo RJ | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61:25 | 67 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras SP | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54:22 | 66 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense PR | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 49:37 | 53 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro MG | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 50:46 | 51 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49:39 | 51 |
| 6 |  Atletico Mineiro MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia BA | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 44:39 | 49 |
| 8 |  Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 48:46 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo SP | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:35 | 42 |
| 10 |  Red Bull Bragantino SP | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo RJ | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 44:48 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba PR | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:49 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vitoria BA | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34:45 | 37 |
| 14 |  Mirassol SP | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:44 | 36 |
| 15 |  Vasco DA Gama | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:43 | 35 |
| 16 |  Corinthians SP | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32:39 | 33 |
| 17 |  Internacional RS | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 33:40 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio RS | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo PA | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 34:49 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 30:62 | 18 |
Our Cruzeiro MG vs Sao Paulo SP prediction for the Serie A match on October 7, 2026, points to a tight contest at Mineirão. Based on odds, form, and head-to-head data, Cruzeiro MG enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Sao Paulo SP has a 25% chance and the draw sits at 30%.
Team Form
Cruzeiro MG comes into this match with mixed results: two wins and three losses in their last five outings. They beat Vitoria BA 3-1 away and Atletico Paranaense PR 3-1 at home, but fell to Santos SP (2-1), Atletico Mineiro MG (2-1), and Vasco da Gama RJ (3-1). The attack has been productive, but defensive lapses cost points.
Sao Paulo SP also shows inconsistent form with one win, one draw, and three losses in the same span. A 1-0 home win over Internacional RS was a bright spot, but defeats against Santos SP (2-1), Palmeiras SP (2-0), and Boca Juniors (1-0) highlight struggles on the road. The 1-1 draw with Boca Juniors at home was a rare positive.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head history between these sides leans heavily toward away wins. In 15 total meetings, the home team has won only 4 times, with 2 draws and 9 away victories. Recent clashes reinforce that trend:
- Apr 4, 2026: Sao Paulo SP 4-1 Cruzeiro MG
- Aug 30, 2025: Cruzeiro MG 1-0 Sao Paulo SP
- Apr 13, 2025: Sao Paulo SP 1-1 Cruzeiro MG
- Jan 15, 2025: Cruzeiro MG 1-1 Sao Paulo SP (Friendly)
- Nov 2, 2023: Sao Paulo SP 1-0 Cruzeiro MG
Sao Paulo SP won two of the last three league meetings, including a 4-1 thrashing earlier this season. That away-day success is a key factor in our Cruzeiro MG vs Sao Paulo SP prediction.
League Table Positions
Cruzeiro MG sits 6th in the Serie A standings with 45 points from 28 matches (13 wins, 6 draws, 9 losses). At home, they rank 8th with 25 points from 14 games (7 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). Sao Paulo SP is 10th overall with 36 points (10 wins, 6 draws, 12 losses) and their away form is outside the top 8, making this a challenging trip.
Win Probability: Cruzeiro MG or Sao Paulo SP?
We calculate the chances as: Cruzeiro MG win 45%, draw 30%, Sao Paulo SP win 25%. The odds implied a 43% home win probability, but we adjusted slightly upward for Cruzeiro’s home advantage and league position. The draw remains a real threat given both teams’ recent inconsistency, while Sao Paulo’s strong H2H away record (9 away wins historically) keeps their upset chance alive.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see this as a close affair. The best available odds at the time of writing are around 2.22 for a Cruzeiro MG victory, 2.08 for the draw, and 4.15 for a Sao Paulo SP win. Those numbers reflect the home side’s slight edge but also the high probability of a stalemate. Based on the stats, our Cruzeiro MG vs Sao Paulo SP prediction leans toward a home win, but a draw is a very realistic outcome. For betting tips, the under 2.5 goals market could offer value given both teams’ recent scoring patterns.