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Serra Macaense FC RJ - Santa Cruz FC RJ prediction 05/10/2026

Match info

Competição
Campeonato Carioca. Serie B2 · Brazil
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Serra Macaense FC RJ

Barra Mansa RJSerra Macaense FC RJ01VCampeonato Carioca. Serie B2

SE Belford Roxo RJSerra Macaense FC RJ11ECampeonato Carioca. Serie B2

Serra Macaense FC RJSanta Cruz FC RJ30VCampeonato Carioca. Serie B2

Cardoso Moreira RJSerra Macaense FC RJ23VCampeonato Carioca. Serie B2

Serra Macaense FC RJRio de Janeiro RJ21VCampeonato Carioca. Serie B2
Santa Cruz FC RJ

SE Paraty RJSanta Cruz FC RJ01VCampeonato Carioca. Serie B2

Santa Cruz FC RJBarra Mansa RJ10VCampeonato Carioca. Serie B2

Serra Macaense FC RJSanta Cruz FC RJ30DCampeonato Carioca. Serie B2

SE Belford Roxo RJSanta Cruz FC RJ30DCampeonato Carioca. Serie B2

Santa Cruz FC RJCardoso Moreira RJ10VCampeonato Carioca. Serie B2

Confronto direto

2 confrontos
Serra Macaense FC RJ 1Empates 10 Santa Cruz FC RJ

Serra Macaense FC RJSanta Cruz FC RJ30Campeonato Carioca. Serie B2

Santa Cruz FC RJSerra Macaense FC RJ00Campeonato Carioca. Serie B2

Campeonato Carioca. Serie B2 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Friburguense RJ972020:623
2Santa Cruz FC RJ960311:818
3Cardoso Moreira RJ952215:617
4Serra Macaense FC RJ952216:917
5Paduano RJ943217:915
6SE Belford Roxo RJ935118:1014
7Campos RJ934212:1113
87 De Abril RJ941414:1613
9Rio de Janeiro RJ931511:1310
10Barra Mansa RJ91446:127
11SE Buzios RJ91088:253
12SE Paraty RJ90095:280

Our Serra Macaense FC RJ vs Santa Cruz FC RJ prediction for October 5, 2026, points to a tight Campeonato Carioca. Serie B2 contest. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, Santa Cruz FC RJ enters as the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while Serra Macaense FC RJ holds a 35% chance and the draw sits at 23%.

Team Form

Serra Macaense FC RJ comes into this match with a mixed run of results: two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. Their most recent match was a 3-2 away win against Cardoso Moreira RJ on October 1. Before that, they beat Rio de Janeiro RJ 2-1 at home on September 27. The team has scored 11 goals in 6 league games, showing they can find the net.

Santa Cruz FC RJ has been in stronger form, winning four of their last five matches. Their only recent slip was a 3-0 away loss to SE Belford Roxo RJ on October 1. Prior to that, they secured three straight wins against Cardoso Moreira RJ (1-0), Rio de Janeiro RJ (3-1), and SE Buzios RJ (3-0). With 9 goals scored and 5 conceded in the league, their defense looks solid.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met only once before, and that match ended in a 0-0 draw. The game took place on October 19, 2025, with Santa Cruz FC RJ as the home team. The limited head-to-head history offers little to separate them, but it does hint at a potentially low-scoring affair.

League Table Positions

In the Campeonato Carioca. Serie B2 standings, Santa Cruz FC RJ sits in 3rd place with 12 points from 6 matches. Serra Macaense FC RJ is close behind in 5th with 10 points. The away team has a perfect home record this season (3 wins, 0 goals conceded), but their away form is weaker with just one win in three trips. Serra Macaense FC RJ, meanwhile, is unbeaten on the road with two wins and a draw from three away games.

Win Probability: Serra Macaense FC RJ or Santa Cruz FC RJ?

We calculate the win probability using the available odds and team stats. The bookmaker odds average around 2.53 for a home win, 2.90 for a draw, and 2.79 for an away win. After removing the margin and adjusting for recent form and league positions, the true chances are: Serra Macaense FC RJ win - 35%, draw - 23%, Santa Cruz FC RJ win - 42%. Santa Cruz FC RJ's better overall form and higher league rank give them the edge, but Serra Macaense FC RJ's strong away performances keep this match very open.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varied odds for this fixture. The best available home win odds are 3.00, a draw can be backed at 2.15, and an away win is priced at 3.10. The odds suggest a close match, with no clear overwhelming favorite. Our Serra Macaense FC RJ vs Santa Cruz FC RJ prediction is that Santa Cruz FC RJ has a slightly higher chance to win, but a draw is a very realistic outcome based on the stats and the teams' only previous meeting.

Serra Macaense FC RJ vs Santa Cruz FC RJ – FAQ

Who will win Serra Macaense FC RJ vs Santa Cruz FC RJ?
Santa Cruz FC RJ is the more likely winner with a 42% probability. Serra Macaense FC RJ has a 35% chance, and the draw is rated at 23%. The match is expected to be close, with both teams capable of taking points.
What is the win probability for Santa Cruz FC RJ?
Santa Cruz FC RJ has a 42% chance to win this match. This is based on their stronger recent form (four wins in five games) and higher position in the Campeonato Carioca. Serie B2 table.
When is the Serra Macaense FC RJ vs Santa Cruz FC RJ match?
The match is scheduled for October 5, 2026, at 15:00 local time. It is a Campeonato Carioca. Serie B2 fixture in Brazil.
What are the odds for the match?
The odds vary across bookmakers. You can find a home win for Serra Macaense FC RJ at up to 3.00, a draw at 2.15, and an away win for Santa Cruz FC RJ at 3.10. These odds reflect a very balanced contest.