Zira - Shamakhi FK prediction 10/10/2026

The Zira vs Shamakhi FK prediction for October 10, 2026, in the Premyer Liqa points to a home win. Zira has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Shamakhi FK has a 20% chance. This match prediction is based on recent form, head-to-head stats, and league table positions.

Team Form

Zira's recent form has been mixed. In their last five matches, they have two wins, one draw, and two losses. They lost 1-0 away to Turan Tovuz on Sep 19 and drew 1-1 at home against Qarabag on Sep 13. A heavy 5-0 defeat at Sabah Baku FC on Sep 5 was followed by two home wins: 1-0 against Neftchi Baku on Aug 30 and 3-1 against FK MKT Araz Imisli on Aug 22.

Shamakhi FK's form shows more consistency. Their last five results are one win, three draws, and one loss. They beat Araz Nakchivan 2-1 at home on Sep 20. Before that, they drew 1-1 away at FK Sumqayit on Sep 12, won 4-1 away at FK Kapaz on Sep 4, and played two 0-0 draws away at Qabala on Aug 29 and Turan Tovuz on Aug 23.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Zira and Shamakhi FK shows 19 wins for Zira, 14 draws, and 13 wins for Shamakhi FK. In the last five meetings, Zira won three, Shamakhi FK won one, and one match ended in a draw. The most recent match on Apr 7, 2026, finished 1-1. Before that, Shamakhi FK won 2-1 at home on Dec 13, 2025. Zira won the three earlier encounters: 2-1 on Sep 19, 2025, 3-0 on Mar 30, 2025, and 2-1 away on Jan 24, 2025.

League Table Positions

In the overall Premyer Liqa standings, Zira sits 5th with 10 points from 6 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Shamakhi FK is 6th with 9 points from 6 matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). At home, Zira is very strong, ranked 2nd with 10 points from 4 games and a 7-2 goal difference. Shamakhi FK's away form is decent, ranked 3rd with 6 points from 5 away matches and a 6-5 goal difference.

Win Probability: Zira or Shamakhi FK?

Based on the odds, form, and H2H record, here are the win probabilities for this match. Zira has a 52% chance to win. The draw has a 28% probability. Shamakhi FK has a 20% chance. Zira's strong home record and historical edge in head-to-head matches make them the favorite. Shamakhi FK's recent away draws show they can be hard to beat, but Zira's home form gives them the best chance to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match vary. Some odds show a home win at 2.62, a draw at 2.00, and an away win at 4.00. Other bookmakers offer 2.52 for a Zira win, 2.00 for the draw, and 4.15 for a Shamakhi FK win. Based on the stats, Zira is the more likely winner. The Zira vs Shamakhi FK prediction is a home victory, but the draw odds are low, so a tight match is expected.