Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown - Shanghai SIPG East Asia prediction 09/10/2026

Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown vs Shanghai SIPG East Asia prediction for the China Super League match on Oct 9, 2026. Based on our analysis of odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown has a 35% chance of winning, a draw is at 35%, and Shanghai SIPG East Asia has a 30% chance. This is a very balanced match, with a slight home advantage for Zhejiang.

Team Form

Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown comes into this match with mixed recent results: W, L, W, D, L in the last five games. They beat Wuhan Three Towns 4-1, lost to Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 2-1, crushed Yunnan Yukun 6-0, drew 1-1 with Shenzhen Peng City, and lost 3-2 to Chengdu Rongcheng. The team shows good attacking power at home, scoring 28 goals in 13 home matches this season.

Shanghai SIPG East Asia is in excellent form with four wins and one draw in the last five: W, D, W, W, W. They beat Ratchaburi 6-4 away in the AFC Champions League, drew 0-0 with Beijing Guoan, beat Shandong Luneng Taishan 3-0 away in the FA Cup, won 1-0 at Shenzhen Peng City, and beat Qingdao Hainiu 2-1 at home. Shanghai SIPG East Asia has been strong on the road, with 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses in 13 away league games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams is very even. In the last 10 meetings, Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown has 2 wins, Shanghai SIPG East Asia has 2 wins, and there have been 6 draws. The most recent match, on May 15, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw. The last five H2H results: 2-2, 3-0 to Shanghai, 2-2, 0-0, and 4-3 to Zhejiang. Draws are a common outcome in this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the China Super League standings, Shanghai SIPG East Asia is 8th with 38 points from 26 games (10 wins, 8 draws, 8 losses). Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown is 9th with 36 points (10 wins, 6 draws, 10 losses). The gap is just 2 points. At home, Zhejiang is 5th in the home table with 24 points from 13 games (7 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). Shanghai SIPG East Asia is 5th in the away table with 18 points from 13 away games (5 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses). Zhejiang's home form gives them a small edge.

Win Probability: Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown or Shanghai SIPG East Asia?

We calculated the win probability based on bookmaker odds, adjusted for recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage. The odds implied probabilities were normalized to remove the margin, then adjusted. The result: Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown win probability is 35%, a draw is 35%, and Shanghai SIPG East Asia win probability is 30%. The high draw probability reflects the many draws in H2H history and the balanced league positions. Zhejiang's strong home record (7 wins in 13) slightly outweighs Shanghai's good away form. So, who will win? It is too close to call, but a draw or a narrow home win is the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The average odds from bookmakers are: home win 2.58, draw 2.61, away win 2.50. This shows that bookmakers see Shanghai SIPG East Asia as a very slight favorite, but the margins are minimal. Based on the stats, our Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown vs Shanghai SIPG East Asia prediction is a draw or a home win. The match is likely to be tight, with a low scoring trend in recent H2H meetings. Betting tips: the draw odds offer value given the head-to-head record, and under 2.5 goals could be a sensible pick.