Guangxi Hengchen FC - Shenzhen Juniors FC prediction 11/10/2026

The Guangxi Hengchen FC vs Shenzhen Juniors FC prediction for October 11, 2026, points to a tight China. League One match. Guangxi Hengchen FC is the slight favorite with a 48% win probability, while Shenzhen Juniors FC has a 27% chance and the draw sits at 25%. The match kicks off at 08:00 local time.

Team Form

Guangxi Hengchen FC comes into this match with three wins in their last five games. Their recent form reads L, W, W, W, L. They beat Wuxi Wugou 1-0 on Sep 25, Nantong Zhiyun 1-0 on Sep 18, and Yanbian Longding 2-1 at home on Sep 12. Losses came against Foshan Nanshi (1-0 on Oct 7) and Shijiazhuang Gongfu (1-0 at home on Sep 6).

Shenzhen Juniors FC shows a mixed run: L, D, D, W, W. They won 5-1 at home against Meizhou Hakka on Sep 6 and beat Foshan Nanshi 2-1 away on Aug 29. Their last match was a heavy 4-1 home loss to Guandong GZ Power FC on Oct 7. Draws came against Changchun Yatai (1-1 on Sep 19) and Shijiazhuang Gongfu (0-0 on Sep 13).

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before. That match, played on June 14, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw. Shenzhen Juniors FC was the home side that day. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for Guangxi Hengchen FC, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Shenzhen Juniors FC.

League Table Positions

Guangxi Hengchen FC sits 2nd in the China. League One overall table with 45 points from 25 matches (13 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses). They have scored 40 goals and conceded 27. At home, they are 4th with 25 points from 12 games (7 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss).

Shenzhen Juniors FC is 4th overall with 44 points from 25 matches (12 wins, 8 draws, 5 losses). They have scored 40 and conceded 29. Away from home, they rank 2nd with 21 points from 12 games (6 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). The table shows just one point between these two sides, making this a crucial match for promotion hopes.

Win Probability: Guangxi Hengchen FC or Shenzhen Juniors FC?

Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: Guangxi Hengchen FC has a 48% chance to win, the draw is at 25%, and Shenzhen Juniors FC has a 27% chance. The odds imply a home win is the most likely outcome, and Guangxi Hengchen FC's strong home record (only one loss) supports that. However, Shenzhen Juniors FC's excellent away form - 2nd best in the league - keeps this match very open. The single H2H meeting was a draw, which adds weight to the 25% draw probability.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Guangxi Hengchen FC as the favorite. The available 1X2 odds show home win prices ranging from 1.85 to 2.03, the draw from 2.25 to 3.78, and an away win from 3.40 to 3.63. The average odds give Guangxi Hengchen FC around a 50% implied chance, which aligns with our adjusted 48% win probability after factoring in recent form and the away team's strength. Our Guangxi Hengchen FC vs Shenzhen Juniors FC prediction is a home win, but with low confidence - a draw is a real possibility. For betting tips, the home win odds offer some value, but the draw is worth considering given the H2H history and tight table positions.