Loznica - Smederevo 1924 prediction 12/10/2026

The Loznica vs Smederevo 1924 prediction for October 12, 2026 in the Prva Liga points to an away-side advantage. Smederevo 1924 enters the match as the clear favorite with a 45% win probability, while Loznica holds a 30% chance and a draw sits at 25%. This betting preview breaks down all the numbers, form, head-to-head stats and the latest bookmaker odds to help you decide who will win.

Team Form

Loznica comes into this match with an inconsistent run: L, W, W, D, L in their last five games. The home loss against Napredak Krusevac (3-0) on October 5 exposed defensive issues, though they did beat Spartak Subotica 2-0 at home on September 28 and earned a 3-2 away win at FK Jedinstvo UB. A 2-2 draw with Javor Ivanjica and a 4-0 defeat at TSC Backa Topola round out the recent picture.

Smederevo 1924, on the other hand, is flying. Their away last results read W, W, W, W, L. The only blemish was a 2-1 loss at FK Jedinstvo UB on September 12. Since then, they beat Spartak Subotica 2-1, thrashed Napredak Krusevac 4-1, edged Vrsac1-0, and defeated Vozdovac 1-0. With 12 goals scored and only4 conceded in those five away trips, Smederevo 1924's form is excellent.

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H numbers heavily favor Smederevo 1924. In the last six meetings across all competitions, Smederevo 1924 won five times, Loznica won once, and there has never been a draw. The most recent encounter on November 14, 2025 ended 1-0 to Loznica at home, but prior to that Smederevo 1924 had won five in a row, including a 2-0 home victory in August 2025. Historically, Loznica has struggled in this matchup.

League Table Positions

A look at the Prva Liga standings underlines the gap between the two sides. Loznica sits 10th with 15 points from 12 matches (3W, 6D, 3L), scoring 16 and conceding 19. Smederevo 1924 is 4th with 24 points from the same number of games, boasting 7 wins, 3 draws and only 2 losses, with a +8 goal difference. The away rankings show Smederevo 1924 in 7th spot with 8 points from 5 trips (2W, 2D, 1L), while Loznica's home form is not enough to feature in the top-8 home table. The 9-point gap in the overall standings reflects the favorite's stronger campaign so far.

Win Probability: Loznica or Smederevo 1924?

Using the bookmaker odds as a base – inverse of the available 1X2 markets – and adjusting for recent form, head-to-head dominance and league position, we calculate the following chances: Loznica win 30%, draw 25%, Smederevo 1924 win 45%. The away team is the logical favorite. The odds imply a Smederevo 1924 victory is the single most likely outcome, and their four away wins in five, plus the 5-1 H2H lead, strengthen that view. Loznica's home win in November 2025 is the only real counterpoint, but overall stats point to an away win or a draw as the most probable results.

Odds & Match Prediction

The first bookmaker listed offers odds of 3.00 for an Loznica win, 3.22 for the draw, and 2.64 for an Smederevo 1924 victory. Other bookies have similar markets, with away odds as low as 2.55 and home odds from 2.55 to 3.00. The betting market clearly sees Smederevo 1924 as the side more likely to take all three points. Our Loznica vs Smederevo 1924 prediction aligns with that: based on the stats, Smederevo 1924 has the best chance to win, with a 45% probability. A draw cannot be ruled out given Loznica's six draws this season, but an away win or a low-scoring affair looks the smarter pick for anyone following the betting tips.