Song Lam Nghe An - Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC prediction 11/10/2026

Song Lam Nghe An vs Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC prediction for the V-League match on Oct 11 at 08:00. Based on the stats, Song Lam Nghe An is the favorite with a 48% win probability. The draw sits at 27%, and Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC has a 25% chance. Read on for full betting tips, head-to-head record, and odds.

Team Form

Song Lam Nghe An comes into this match with strong recent form, recording three wins in their last five outings. They beat Lam Dong 2-0 away in the Cup, crushed Ha Noi T&T 4-1 away in the V-League, and edged TDTT Bac Ninh 1-0 at home. The two losses were a 3-1 home defeat to PVF Cong An Nhan Dan FC and a 3-0 away loss to Nam Dinh. Their attack has been sharp on the road, scoring four goals in two of those away wins.

Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC has been less consistent, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five. They drew 1-1 away to Ratchaburi in the ASEAN Club Championship, lost 1-0 at home to Dai Hoc Van Hien in V-League 2, and drew 1-1 away to Binh Dinh in the Cup. A 1-0 away win over Lam Dong and a 1-0 away loss to TDTT Bac Ninh complete the picture. The away form shows they can grind out results but struggle for goals.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Song Lam Nghe An, who have 14 wins to Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC's 6, with 5 draws in their history. The last five meetings show a mixed bag: Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC won the most recent clash 3-1 at home in May 2026, and also won 3-2 away in September 2025. Before that, there was a 1-1 draw in April 2025, a 0-0 draw in November 2024, and a 1-0 home win for Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC in December 2023. The recent trend suggests tight, low-scoring games with the away team often getting a result.

League Table Positions

In the V-League standings, Song Lam Nghe An sits 3rd with 6 points from 2 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 1. Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC is 7th with 3 points from 2 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 2. At home, Song Lam Nghe An is perfect with 1 win, 1 goal scored, and 0 conceded. Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC has played 1 away game, winning it with 3 goals scored and 1 conceded. The table shows Song Lam Nghe An has the edge in both overall points and goal difference.

Win Probability: Song Lam Nghe An or Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC?

Who will win this match? We calculate the probabilities based on odds, form, and head-to-head stats. Song Lam Nghe An has a 48% chance of winning. The draw is at 27%, and Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC has a 25% chance. The home team's strong league position, better recent form, and historical H2H dominance give them the edge. However, Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC's recent wins in this fixture and solid away form keep the match competitive. The most likely outcome is a home win, but a draw is a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers' odds for the 1X2 market show Song Lam Nghe An as the favorite. The best home win odds are around 2.30, the draw is priced between 2.08 and 3.38, and an away win for Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC is available at odds from 2.75 to 3.30. These odds reflect the tight nature of this contest. Our Song Lam Nghe An vs Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC prediction is a home win, based on the stats and the 48% win probability. For betting tips, the home win offers value, but the draw is a safer hedge given the recent H2H results.