Spalding United - Bury Town prediction 06/10/2026

Our Spalding United vs Bury Town prediction for this FA Cup match on Oct 6 at 15:45 points to a home win. Based on the latest odds and team form, Spalding United has a 58% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Bury Town has a 16% chance.

Team Form

Spalding United comes into this match with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five games. They beat Bedford Town 2-1, won 3-1 away at Spennymoor Town FC, and secured a 2-0 home victory over Southport. A 2-1 loss to Chorley and a 1-1 draw with Bury Town in the FA Cup on Oct 3 complete their recent run.

Bury Town's last five results show three wins, one draw, and one loss. They won 2-1 at Bishops Stortford, beat Hitchin Town 1-0 at home, and edged Gorleston 4-3 in the FA Cup. A 1-0 loss to Bromsgrove Sporting and the 1-1 draw with Spalding United are the other results.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three head-to-head matches, Spalding United has won two and one ended in a draw. Bury Town has not won any of these encounters. The most recent meeting was just three days ago, on Oct 3, a 1-1 draw in the FA Cup. Before that, Spalding United won 2-1 at home in the Southern League Premier Division on Nov 25, 2025, and also won 2-1 away on Sep 23, 2025.

League Table Positions

Spalding United plays in the National League North, while Bury Town competes in the Southern League Premier Division. The JSON data does not include exact current league positions or points, but Spalding United's recent form in a higher-tier division suggests a competitive edge.

Win Probability: Spalding United or Bury Town?

Who will win this match? We calculate the win probability using the available odds and recent results. The average bookmaker odds imply a home win probability around 55%, a draw near 25%, and an away win close to 20%. Adjusting for Spalding United's stronger head-to-head record (2 wins, 1 draw in the last three) and their better recent form, we give Spalding United a 58% chance, the draw a 26% chance, and Bury Town a 16% chance. The home advantage and the quick rematch factor also favor Spalding United.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Spalding United as the favorite. The best available odds for a home win are 1.75, the draw is at 2.40, and an away win for Bury Town is at 4.00. Some books have the home win as low as 1.67. Based on the stats, form, and H2H record, our Spalding United vs Bury Town prediction is a home win. The betting tip is to back Spalding United to win, with the 1.75 odds offering value given their 58% implied chance.