Spartak Pleven - Hebar Pazardzhik prediction 07/09/2026

Our Spartak Pleven vs Hebar Pazardzhik prediction for this B PFG match on Sep 07, 2026 at 16:00 points to Hebar Pazardzhik as the favorite. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and current form, Hebar Pazardzhik has a 52% win probability, while Spartak Pleven sits at 28% and the draw at 20%.

Team Form

Spartak Pleven comes into this match in poor shape. Their last five results are L, L, L, L, D. The most recent outing was a heavy 5-1 away loss to CSKA Sofia 2 on Sep 03. Before that they fell 0-2 at home to Vihren Sandanski, lost 3-0 at Beroe Stara Zagora, and suffered a 0-1 home defeat against Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa. The only point in this run came from a 2-2 draw at Rilski Sportist Samokov.

Hebar Pazardzhik shows more balanced form with D, D, W, W, L in their last five. They drew 1-1 at home with Fratria and 1-1 away at Ludogorets Razgrad II. Before those draws they beat Chernomorets Burgas 1-0 at home and won 3-2 at Pirin Blagoevgrad. The lone loss was a 4-3 thriller at CSKA Sofia 2. Hebar Pazardzhik has been scoring consistently on the road, which is a key factor for this Spartak Pleven vs Hebar Pazardzhik prediction.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record strongly favors Hebar Pazardzhik. In three previous meetings, Hebar Pazardzhik has won twice and Spartak Pleven once, with no draws. The most recent clash on Mar 14, 2026 ended 0-3 in favor of Spartak Pleven away from home. However, the two matches before that both went to Hebar Pazardzhik: a 1-2 away win on Sep 06, 2025 and a 1-3 away win back on Dec 07, 2019. Hebar Pazardzhik has found the net in all three H2H encounters, scoring 2, 2, and 3 goals.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall B PFG standings in the provided data. However, the away standings table shows Hebar Pazardzhik in 7th place with 4 points from 4 away games (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses), scoring 8 goals and conceding 9. Spartak Pleven is absent from the home standings top 8, which suggests they are struggling in the lower part of the table. The gap in away performance gives Hebar Pazardzhik an edge in this Spartak Pleven vs Hebar Pazardzhik prediction.

Win Probability: Spartak Pleven or Hebar Pazardzhik?

We calculate the win probability for this match as follows: Hebar Pazardzhik 52%, Spartak Pleven 28%, draw 20%. This is based on the inverse of the best available odds (home 2.60, draw 2.20, away 3.00), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for team form and head-to-head record. Hebar Pazardzhik's superior recent results and dominant H2H history tilt the percentages in their favor. Spartak Pleven's four losses in five games and poor defensive record make them the underdog. The question of who will win this match points clearly to the away side.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this B PFG clash. The 1X2 market shows home win odds from 2.14 to 2.60, draw odds from 2.05 to 3.27, and away win odds from 2.01 to 3.05. The best price for a Hebar Pazardzhik win is 3.05, while Spartak Pleven's best home win price is 2.60. The draw is available at 3.27 at one bookmaker. Based on the stats, form, and H2H record, our Spartak Pleven vs Hebar Pazardzhik prediction is an away win. Hebar Pazardzhik's ability to score away from home and Spartak Pleven's leaky defense make the away side the value pick in the betting tips for this match.