Spartak Subotica - Napredak Krusevac prediction 11/09/2026

The Spartak Subotica vs Napredak Krusevac prediction for September 11, 2026, points to a tight Prva Liga contest. Kick-off is at 18:00. Based on the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, Spartak Subotica enters as a slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while Napredak Krusevac has a 33% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Spartak Subotica's last five matches show one win, three draws, and one loss. They beat Vrsac 2-0 at home, drew 1-1 away to FK Jedinstvo UB, drew 2-2 at home against Javor Ivanjica, drew 2-2 away to TSC Backa Topola, and lost 2-4 at home to Teleoptik. The team scores regularly but struggles to keep clean sheets.

Napredak Krusevac's recent form is two wins, two losses, and one draw. They won 2-1 at home against FK Jedinstvo UB, lost 0-3 away to Javor Ivanjica, lost 1-2 at home to TSC Backa Topola, drew 1-1 away to Teleoptik, and won 2-1 at home against Metalac Gornji Milanovac. Their away performances have been inconsistent.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Spartak Subotica and Napredak Krusevac is very close. In 31 previous meetings, Spartak Subotica has 12 wins, Napredak Krusevac has 14 wins, and there have been 5 draws. The last five matches show a mixed picture: Napredak Krusevac won the most recent clash 3-0 away on May 10, 2026. Before that, they drew 1-1 on March 1, 2026. Spartak Subotica won 2-1 at home on September 28, 2025, and 2-1 at home on April 24, 2025. Napredak Krusevac also won 2-0 away on December 22, 2024. The H2H stats suggest neither team dominates consistently.

League Table Positions

In the Prva Liga standings, Napredak Krusevac sits 3rd with 13 points from 7 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Spartak Subotica is 4th with 12 points from 7 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). The gap is just one point. At home, Spartak Subotica has 7 points from 4 games, while Napredak Krusevac has 9 points from 4 away games. The table shows two evenly matched sides fighting for top positions.

Win Probability: Spartak Subotica or Napredak Krusevac?

Who will win this match? We calculated the win probability using the betting odds as a base and adjusting for form and H2H. The bookmakers' odds are 2.00 for a Spartak Subotica win, 3.05 for the draw, and 3.35 for a Napredak Krusevac win. After removing the margin, the fair probabilities are roughly 42% for Spartak Subotica, 25% for the draw, and 33% for Napredak Krusevac. Spartak Subotica's home advantage and slightly better recent scoring form give them the edge, but Napredak Krusevac's higher league position and positive away record keep this match very open. The draw is a real possibility given both teams' tendency to share points.

Odds & Match Prediction

The current odds for this Prva Liga match are: Spartak Subotica win at 2.00, draw at 3.05, and Napredak Krusevac win at 3.35. Bookmakers see Spartak Subotica as the favorite, which matches our win probability analysis. Based on the stats, the Spartak Subotica vs Napredak Krusevac prediction is a home win or a draw, with Spartak Subotica having the highest individual chance. For betting tips, the home win odds offer value, but the draw is a solid safety option given the recent head-to-head and both teams' form.