Sport Colombia - Sportivo Limpeno prediction 09/09/2026

The Sport Colombia vs Sportivo Limpeno prediction for September 9, 2026, points to a home win. This Primera B match kicks off at 18:00, and based on the stats, Sport Colombia has a 62% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Sportivo Limpeno has a 13% chance.

Team Form

Sport Colombia comes into this match with a mixed run. Their last five results are D, W, W, L, D. They drew 1-1 away at Club Silvio Pettirossi on Sep 05, beat Presidente Hayes 2-0 at home on Aug 19, and won 2-0 at 3 de Febrero FBC on Aug 15. A 1-2 home loss to 1 de Marzo on Aug 10 and a 1-1 draw at Atletico Colegiales on Aug 01 complete the picture.

Sportivo Limpeno is struggling badly. Their last five results are all losses: L, L, L, L, L. They lost 1-2 at home to 29 de Setiembre on Sep 06, were beaten 4-1 away by 12 de Octubre de Itaugua on Aug 31, and lost 1-0 at Atlantida Sport Club on Aug 19. Home defeats to Club Olimpia De Ita (0-1) on Aug 15 and a 1-0 loss at Club General Martin Ledesma on Aug 08 show a team in poor shape.

Head-to-Head Record

Sport Colombia has dominated this head-to-head matchup. In two previous meetings, Sport Colombia has 2 wins, Sportivo Limpeno has 0, and there have been 0 draws. The most recent clash was on Sep 06, 2025, when Sport Colombia won 1-0 away at Sportivo Limpeno. Earlier, on May 16, 2025, Sport Colombia won 1-0 at home. Sportivo Limpeno has yet to score against Sport Colombia in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in Paraguay's Primera B. While exact table positions are not provided in the data, the form guide and head-to-head record clearly favor Sport Colombia. Sportivo Limpeno's five straight losses suggest they are near the bottom, while Sport Colombia's two wins and two draws in five games indicate a mid-to-upper table spot.

Win Probability: Sport Colombia or Sportivo Limpeno?

Who will win this match? The win probability calculation gives Sport Colombia a 62% chance, the draw a 25% chance, and Sportivo Limpeno a 13% chance. This is based on the odds, where the inverse of the best home odds (1.57) implies a 63.7% chance, adjusted slightly down due to Sport Colombia's inconsistent recent form. The away odds of 9.00 imply just an 11.1% chance for Sportivo Limpeno, raised a touch to 13% because of the unpredictable nature of the league. The draw odds around 2.75-2.88 suggest a 34-36% raw probability, normalized down to 25% when factoring in the H2H record of no draws in two games. Home advantage, the 2-0 H2H record, and Sportivo Limpeno's five-match losing streak all support a home win as the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Sport Colombia as the clear favorite. The best home win odds are 1.57, the draw is available at 2.75, and an away win for Sportivo Limpeno is priced as high as 9.00. These Sport Colombia vs Sportivo Limpeno betting tips point to a home victory. Based on the stats, the prediction is a Sport Colombia win, likely with a clean sheet given the H2H history. A 2-0 scoreline fits the patterns in the data.