Sport Recife PE - America Mineiro MG prediction 24/08/2026

Sport Recife PE vs America Mineiro MG prediction: the Serie B match is on Aug 24, 2026, at 22:30. Sport Recife PE is the favorite with a 55% win probability, while America Mineiro MG has only a 20% chance. The draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Sport Recife PE comes into this match with mixed results: two wins, two draws, and one loss in the last five games. They beat Londrina PR (2-1) and Vila Nova GO (1-0), drew with Cuiaba MT (1-1) and Goias GO (1-1), and lost to Avai SC (2-1). At home, Sport Recife PE is hard to beat – only one defeat in 12 home matches this season.

America Mineiro MG is struggling. Their last five matches show four losses and just one win. They lost to Gremio Novorizontino SP (3-0), Athletic Club MG (3-1), Botafogo SP (2-1), and Avai SC (2-1), with a single 1-0 home win over Goias GO. Away form is a big concern – four defeats in the last five road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Sport Recife PE and America Mineiro MG favors the away side historically: 7 wins for America Mineiro MG, 3 for Sport Recife PE, and 1 draw. The most recent meeting, on Apr 18, 2026, ended 0-0. Before that, America Mineiro MG won 2-1 in October 2024. Overall, the last four clashes show two wins for America, one for Sport, and one draw.

League Table Positions

Sport Recife PE sits 8th in the Serie B overall table with 35 points (8 wins, 11 draws, 4 losses). At home, they are 7th with 19 points from 12 games (4 wins, 7 draws, 1 loss). America Mineiro MG is outside the top 12, which highlights their weaker campaign. Sport Recife PE’s solid home defense (14 goals conceded in 12 matches) gives them a clear edge.

Win Probability: Sport Recife PE or America Mineiro MG?

Based on the odds, recent form, and home advantage, the win probability for this match is: Sport Recife PE 55%, draw 25%, America Mineiro MG 20%. The bookmakers’ odds implied around 48% for a home win, but Sport’s strong home record and America’s poor away form push that number higher. The draw remains a real possibility – Sport Recife PE has drawn 7 of 12 home games. America Mineiro MG’s low chance reflects their four losses in five away matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best odds for a Sport Recife PE win are around 1.67, with the draw at 2.25 and an America Mineiro MG victory at 5.00. Bookmakers clearly see Sport Recife PE as the favorite. Our Sport Recife PE vs America Mineiro MG prediction: based on the stats, Sport Recife PE is the more likely winner, but the high number of home draws suggests a tight contest. A 1-0 or 2-1 home win fits the data.