CRB AL - Sport Recife PE prediction 15/09/2026

The CRB AL vs Sport Recife PE prediction for September 16 in Brazil's Serie B points to a tight contest where the home side holds a slight edge. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, CRB AL enters this match with a 42% win probability, while a draw sits at 30% and an away win for Sport Recife PE is at 28%.

Team Form

CRB AL comes into this match with a mixed run of results in their last five games: two wins and three losses. They beat America Mineiro MG 3-1 at home and Criciuma SC 2-1 at home, but suffered defeats to Operario PR (0-3 away) and Juventude RS (1-2 away). Their most recent outing was a 2-0 away win against Athletic Club MG.

Sport Recife PE has also been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five. They secured a 2-0 home win over Ponte Preta SP and a 3-0 home win against America Mineiro MG. However, they lost three straight away matches to Ceara CE (1-2), Gremio Novorizontino SP (1-2), and Avai SC (1-2).

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 11 meetings between these two sides, the head-to-head record is perfectly balanced with 5 wins for CRB AL, 5 for Sport Recife PE, and 1 draw. The most recent clash was on May 17, 2026, when CRB AL won 2-1 away at Sport Recife PE in Serie B. Earlier in 2025, Sport Recife PE won 2-1 at home in the Copa do Nordeste. The history shows this fixture often produces a winner, with only one draw in the last 11 encounters.

League Table Positions

In the overall Serie B standings, CRB AL sits in 8th place with 42 points from 27 matches, having scored 40 goals and conceded 39. Sport Recife PE is just one point behind in 9th with 41 points from 27 matches, with 36 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home, CRB AL's away form has been solid, ranking 3rd in the away table with 21 points from 14 road games. Sport Recife PE's home form is also strong, ranking 8th with 25 points from 14 home matches, losing only once at home all season.

Win Probability: CRB AL or Sport Recife PE?

After analyzing the betting odds, recent form, and head-to-head stats, the win probability for this match is: CRB AL 42%, draw 30%, Sport Recife PE 28%. The odds from bookmakers show CRB AL as the favorite with average odds around 2.08, which translates to an implied probability near 48% before removing the margin. After adjusting for the bookmaker margin and factoring in the balanced H2H record and both teams' inconsistent form, the true probabilities shift slightly. CRB AL's strong away record and their win in the most recent meeting give them the edge, but Sport Recife PE's solid home defense makes a draw a very real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this Serie B match are: CRB AL win at 2.25, draw at 2.30, and Sport Recife PE win at 3.80. Other bookmakers offer similar lines, with the home win as low as 1.80 at some shops. Based on the stats, the CRB AL vs Sport Recife PE prediction is a home win or a draw, with the value potentially lying in the draw market given the tight nature of this fixture. Bookmakers see CRB AL as the favorite, and the recent head-to-head result supports that, but Sport Recife PE's ability to avoid defeat at home cannot be ignored.