Stjarnan - Valur Reykjavik prediction 24/10/2026

The Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik prediction for October 24, 2026, points to a tight Premier League match in Iceland. Stjarnan is the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Valur Reykjavik has a 32% chance and the draw sits at 28%. The game kicks off at 11:00 local time and both teams are separated by just one point in the league table.

Team Form

Stjarnan comes into this match with poor recent results. Their last five games show three losses, one draw, and only one win: a 2-0 home victory against IBV Vestmannaeyja on Sep 13. Before that they lost 5-2 to FH Hafnarfjordur, 3-0 to KA Akureyri, and 3-1 to Thor Akureyri. The team has struggled defensively, conceding 12 goals in those five matches.

Valur Reykjavik is in much better shape. They have three wins, one draw, and one loss in the same period. The away win at Keflavik (2-1) and home victories against Thor Akureyri (4-1) and KA Akureyri (4-1) show strong attacking form. The only setback was a 5-3 home loss to FH Hafnarfjordur, but overall Valur looks sharper.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Stjarnan and Valur Reykjavik is perfectly balanced: 12 wins for each side and 10 draws in their history. The last five meetings have been mixed. Valur won 4-2 at Stjarnan in April 2026, but Stjarnan returned the favor with a 3-2 away win in August 2026. In 2025, Valur won 3-2 and 3-1, while Stjarnan took a 2-1 away victory. This H2H data suggests neither team has a clear edge.

League Table Positions

Stjarnan sits 7th in the Premier League with 28 points from 22 games (8 wins, 4 draws, 10 losses). Valur Reykjavik is right behind in 8th with 27 points (8 wins, 3 draws, 11 losses). At home, Stjarnan has collected 14 points from 11 matches, while Valur's away record is slightly better with 15 points from 11 games. The small gap in the standings confirms how evenly matched these teams are.

Win Probability: Stjarnan or Valur Reykjavik?

Based on the available odds, recent form, and head-to-head stats, the win probability for this match is: Stjarnan 40%, draw 28%, Valur Reykjavik 32%. Bookmakers see Stjarnan as the favorite with average odds around 1.85 for a home win, but the team's poor form lowers their real chances. Valur's strong recent performances and solid away record give them a genuine opportunity to take points. The draw is also a realistic outcome given the balanced H2H history.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik show a home win at 1.88, a draw at 2.98, and an away win at 3.05. Other bookmakers offer similar lines, confirming Stjarnan as the nominal favorite. However, with Valur's momentum and the head-to-head equality, this match could easily end in a draw or an away win. Our prediction: a close contest where Stjarnan has a slight edge, but betting tips should consider the double chance or the draw as valuable options.