Encarnacion FC - Tacuary Asuncion prediction 09/09/2026

Encarnacion FC vs Tacuary Asuncion prediction for Sep 09 in the Segunda Division of Paraguay. Encarnacion FC is the slight favorite with a 45% win probability, while Tacuary Asuncion has a 28% chance and the draw is at 27%. This match kicks off at 13:00.

Team Form

Encarnacion FC comes into this match with mixed recent results. Their last five matches show two wins and three losses. They beat Atletico Tembetary 2-0 away on Sep 05 and Deportivo Carapegua 3-1 away on Aug 23, but lost at home to Club Doctor Benjamin Aceval 1-3, 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 0-2, and Paraguari AC 0-1.

Tacuary Asuncion has one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five. They lost 0-3 at home to Deportivo Santani on Sep 05 and 0-1 at home to 3 de Noviembre on Aug 23. Their only win in this run was 1-0 at home against Guairena FC on Aug 10. They also drew 1-1 away at Fernando de la Mora on Aug 29.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met three times in the Segunda Division. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced: one win for Encarnacion FC, one draw, and one win for Tacuary Asuncion. The most recent meeting on May 19 ended 2-2. Before that, Encarnacion FC won 3-1 at home on Aug 03, 2025, and Tacuary Asuncion won 1-0 at home on Apr 27, 2025.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall Segunda Division standings. The table is led by General Caballero JLM with 44 points, followed by 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes also with 44 points. Deportivo Santani is third with 42 points. Encarnacion FC and Tacuary Asuncion are outside the listed positions, which suggests both teams are in the lower part of the table.

Win Probability: Encarnacion FC or Tacuary Asuncion?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, Encarnacion FC has a 45% chance of winning. The draw is at 27%, and Tacuary Asuncion has a 28% chance. The home factor gives Encarnacion FC a small edge, but their recent home form is poor with three straight home losses. Tacuary Asuncion has also struggled, especially away from home.

The head-to-head record is even, which supports a close match. Bookmakers see Encarnacion FC as the favorite, but the margin is small. The most likely outcome is a home win, but the draw and away win are both realistic options.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds for this match vary slightly across bookmakers. The best available home odds for Encarnacion FC are 2.19, the draw is offered at 3.33, and the away win for Tacuary Asuncion is at 3.50. Other bookmakers have the home win around 2.05 to 2.10, with the draw between 1.98 and 2.10, and the away win between 3.50 and 3.85.

Based on the stats, Encarnacion FC is the more likely winner, but this is not a high-confidence pick. The value may be in the draw or the away win given the odds. Our final Encarnacion FC vs Tacuary Asuncion prediction is a home win, but with caution. A draw is a strong alternative betting tip.