Tabasalu Jk Charma - Tallinna JK Legion prediction 14/09/2026

On September 14, 2026, at 16:00, Tabasalu Jk Charma faces Tallinna JK Legion in an Esiliiga B match. Our Tabasalu Jk Charma vs Tallinna JK Legion prediction gives the home side a 63% win probability, based on odds, team form, and head-to-head stats.

Team Form

Both teams come into this match in poor shape, but the hosts have a slight edge. Tabasalu Jk Charma's last five results read L, W, L, L, D – a 1-4 loss to Tallinna Kalev 2, a 3-2 win over Tammeka Tartu Reserves, two heavy away defeats (0-4 at JK Narva Trans II, 0-6 at Parnu JK Vaprus 2), and a 2-2 home draw with Johvi FC Phoenix.

Tallinna JK Legion is in even deeper trouble. Their last five matches ended L, L, L, L, D: 1-2 at home to FA Tartu Kalev, 0-3 at Viljandi Tulevik, 1-5 at home to Parnu JK Vaprus 2, a narrow 0-1 loss at FCI Levadia Tallinn U19, and a 3-3 draw away to Tallinna Kalev 2. That is four consecutive defeats, a run that leaves them anchored to the bottom of the league.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall, these sides have met 13 times in Esiliiga B, with 6 wins for Tabasalu Jk Charma, 6 for Tallinna JK Legion, and 1 draw. The recent trend, however, favours the away team. In the last five meetings, Legion has won four – including the latest three clashes. The most recent was a 2-0 Legion home win in July 2026, though Charma did claim a 3-0 away victory in October 2025. This head-to-head pattern suggests Legion can trouble Charma, but current form points in a different direction.

League Table Positions

Tabasalu Jk Charma sits 7th in the 9-team Esiliiga B with 32 points from 28 matches (10W, 2D, 16L). At home they have a respectable record: 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in 12 games, scoring 21 and conceding 26. Tallinna JK Legion occupies the last place with just 12 points from 27 matches (3W, 3D, 21L), and their goal difference is a grim -71 (27 scored, 98 conceded). The 20-point gap and home advantage make Charma the clear favourite on paper.

Win Probability: Tabasalu Jk Charma or Tallinna JK Legion?

Based on all available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Tabasalu Jk Charma 63%, draw 20%, Tallinna JK Legion 17%. The odds (best home win at 1.57) imply a 61% chance for the hosts; we adjusted this upwards because of Legion’s last-placed standing and terrible recent form. Home advantage and the 20-point gap in the table add further weight to Charma. Legion’s 17% reflects their four-game losing streak and the fact they have not won a match in over a month. A draw is possible, but with two struggling attacks and fragile defences, the home win is the most probable outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers see Tabasalu Jk Charma as the strong favourite. The best 1X2 odds on the market show a home win at 1.57, a draw as high as 5.00, and an away win also at 5.00. These odds align with the league positions but perhaps underestimate Charma’s own inconsistency. Our Tabasalu Jk Charma vs Tallinna JK Legion prediction is a home victory. While Charma’s form is patchy, Legion’s defensive record (98 goals conceded) and current losing streak make it hard to back an upset. A low-scoring win for the home side is the most likely match outcome.