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Tamworth - Sutton United prediction 30/09/2026

Match info

Competição
National League · England
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Tamworth

GatesheadTamworth00ENational League

Carlisle UnitedTamworth21DFA Cup

TamworthBarrow12DNational League

TamworthLeeds U2110VNational League Cup

Hartlepool UnitedTamworth01VNational League
Sutton United

Sutton UnitedTruro City10VFA Cup

Sutton UnitedWest Bromwich Albion U2132VNational League Cup

Sutton UnitedBoreham Wood02DNational League

Kidderminster HarriersSutton United11ENational League

TamworthSutton United20DNational League

Confronto direto

5 confrontos
Tamworth 3Empates 02 Sutton United

TamworthSutton United20National League

TamworthSutton United01National League

Sutton UnitedTamworth23National League

Sutton UnitedTamworth10FA Trophy

Sutton UnitedTamworth12National League

National League 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Boreham Wood13112034:1335
2Harrogate Town1391329:1728
3Southend United1383231:1927
4Yeovil Town1374232:1525
5Worthing1373327:1824
6Altrincham1380520:1924
7AFC Fylde1372424:1823
8Barrow1363422:1621
9AFC Hornchurch1370615:1921
10Halifax Town1362522:1520
11Kidderminster Harriers1355315:1220
12Aldershot Town1353518:1618
13Sutton United1353514:1818
14Carlisle United1345423:2017
15Woking1343620:2015
16Forest Green Rovers1243519:2215
17Eastleigh1343614:2015
18Tamworth1342721:3014
19Wealdstone1333717:2412
20Hartlepool United1340912:1912
21Boston United1333715:2312
22Scunthorpe United1231815:2110
23Solihull Moors13211013:357
24Gateshead1311118:314

Our Tamworth vs Sutton United prediction for September 30, 2026 in the England National League points to a close match. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record and team form, Sutton United enters as the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while Tamworth has a 35% chance and the draw sits at 23%.

Team Form

Tamworth's recent form is poor. They have lost four of their last five matches across all competitions. A 5-1 away loss to Aldershot Town on Sep 26 and a 3-1 defeat at Southend United on Sep 15 highlight their defensive struggles. Their only win in this stretch was a 2-1 home victory over Wealdstone on Sep 19.

Sutton United's form is more balanced. They have two draws, two wins and one loss in their last five. They drew 3-3 at home with Forest Green Rovers on Sep 26 and 1-1 away at Halifax Town on Sep 19. A 2-1 home win against Eastleigh on Sep 15 shows they can get results.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Tamworth and Sutton United is perfectly even at two wins each from four meetings. The most recent clash was on Jan 24, 2026, when Sutton United won 1-0 away at Tamworth. Tamworth's last win in this fixture was a 3-2 away victory on Sep 13, 2025. The H2H stats suggest neither team has a clear historical edge.

League Table Positions

Sutton United sits 10th in the National League table with 17 points from 10 games, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Tamworth is not listed in the top 12 of the overall standings, which indicates they are lower in the table. The home and away splits show Tamworth is not among the top 8 home sides, while Sutton United is not in the top 8 away teams either. The league positions point to a tight contest.

Win Probability: Tamworth or Sutton United?

We calculate the win probability for this match using the odds, recent form, and H2H record. The bookmaker odds average around 2.26 for a Tamworth win, 2.75 for a draw, and 3.00 for a Sutton United win. After removing the margin, the implied chances are roughly 35% for Tamworth, 23% for the draw, and 42% for Sutton United. Sutton United's better recent form and their away win in the last H2H meeting support their status as the favorite. Tamworth's poor defensive record lowers their chances. The draw is a real possibility given Sutton United's three draws in their last five games.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds show Tamworth at 2.37, the draw at 3.78, and Sutton United at 2.92. Bookmakers see this as a fairly open match, but the odds imply Sutton United has the edge. Our Tamworth vs Sutton United betting tips point to an away win or draw as the safest picks. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow win for Sutton United, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out.

Tamworth vs Sutton United – FAQ

Who will win Tamworth vs Sutton United?
Sutton United has a 42% chance to win, Tamworth has a 35% chance, and the draw is at 23%. Sutton United is the slight favorite based on better recent form and their 1-0 away win in the last head-to-head match on Jan 24, 2026.
What is the win probability for Sutton United?
Sutton United has a 42% win probability. This is calculated from the average bookmaker odds of 3.00 for an away win, adjusted for their more consistent form with two wins and two draws in the last five games.
When is the Tamworth vs Sutton United match?
The match is on September 30, 2026, at 15:45 local time. It is a National League fixture in England.
What are the odds for Tamworth vs Sutton United?
The best available odds are 2.37 for a Tamworth home win, 3.78 for the draw, and 2.92 for a Sutton United away win. The odds suggest a close match with no strong favorite.