Kampong Speu - Tboung Khmum prediction 14/10/2026

The Kampong Speu vs Tboung Khmum prediction is here for October 14, 2026, in the Cambodia Cup. Tboung Khmum is the clear favorite, with a 72% win probability based on odds and recent form. The head-to-head record and scoring power make the visitors the likely winners, while Kampong Speu's chances sit at just 18%.

Team Form

Kampong Speu comes into this match with a mixed record of W, W, W, D, L in their last five outings. They scored 7 goals in a big win over Takeo on Aug 19 but just suffered a heavy 6-2 defeat against this same Tboung Khmum side on Oct 6. The defense has been inconsistent, conceding 6 goals in that loss and 4 in a draw with Takeo on Sep 29.

Tboung Khmum's form is impressive - W, W, W, W, D. They scored 6 goals in their last meeting with Kampong Speu, 4 against Kampong Cham, and a stunning 6-0 away win at Preah Khan Reach Svay Rieng. Their only recent draw was 1-1 with Kampong Cham back in December 2025, showing consistency over nearly a year.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous Kampong Speu vs Tboung Khmum meeting took place on Oct 6, 2026, just eight days before this clash. Tboung Khmum won that Cup match 6-2 in dominant fashion. The H2H record stands at 0 wins for Kampong Speu, 0 draws, and 1 win for Tboung Khmum.

League Table Positions

No detailed league table data is available for this Cup competition, but the recent head-to-head and scoring form clearly separate these two sides. Tboung Khmum's wins over high-profile provincial teams like Preah Khan Reach Svay Rieng suggest a higher standing, while Kampong Speu's heavy losses point to a lower-tier challenge.

Win Probability: Kampong Speu or Tboung Khmum?

After analyzing all data, the win probability is: Tboung Khmum 72%, draw 18%, Kampong Speu 10%. The odds from bookmakers (Tboung Khmum at 1.67, Kampong Speu at 7.00) serve as the base, and after normalizing for the margin, Tboung Khmum holds a 72% implied chance. The 6-2 head-to-head result only eight days ago strengthens this number. Kampong Speu's home advantage is weak - they recently drew 4-4 as the away side against Takeo and lost 6-2 to Tboung Khmum. Tboung Khmum's four-game winning run with 23 goals scored across those matches makes them the clear pick to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds for Kampong Speu vs Tboung Khmum are: home win 7.00, draw 2.75, away win 1.67. The bookmakers heavily favor Tboung Khmum, and that aligns with the head-to-head and form facts. Based on the stats, the Tboung Khmum victory looks like the most realistic outcome. Kampong Speu would need a big turnaround in defense to stop the visitors' attack.