Telavi - Shturmi prediction 16/09/2026

Our Telavi vs Shturmi prediction for the Erovnuli 2 match on Sep 16, 2026, points to a tight contest where Telavi holds a slight edge. The match kicks off at 15:00, and based on the latest stats and odds, Telavi has a 46% win probability, the draw is at 33%, and Shturmi has a 21% chance. Telavi's strong home record is the key factor in this betting tip.

Team Form

Telavi's recent form has been mixed. Their last five matches show two draws, two losses, and one win (D, L, L, W, D). In their most recent game on Sep 12, they drew 2-2 away at Gori. Before that, they suffered a 0-3 home loss to Samtredia on Sep 07. Telavi's home form remains a strength, with only one loss in their last five home matches across all competitions.

Shturmi comes into this match with a slightly better recent record. Their last five results are three wins and two losses (W, W, L, L, W). They won 2-0 at home against FC Odishi 1919 Lazika Zugdidi on Sep 12, and secured an impressive 4-3 away win at Aragvi Dusheti on Sep 06. Shturmi's away form is inconsistent, with two wins and two losses in their last four away trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Telavi and Shturmi is limited to two matches, both in the Erovnuli 2. Telavi leads with one win and one draw. Shturmi has never beaten Telavi. The most recent meeting was on Jun 13, 2026, when Telavi won 2-0 away at Shturmi. The earlier match on Apr 22, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw at Telavi's ground. This H2H record gives Telavi a psychological advantage.

League Table Positions

In the Erovnuli 2 overall standings, Telavi sits in 2nd place with 41 points from 25 matches (11 wins, 8 draws, 6 losses). Shturmi is close behind in 3rd place with 39 points (10 wins, 9 draws, 6 losses). The gap is just two points, making this a direct battle for promotion positions.

Telavi's home form is the best in the league. They rank 1st in the home table with 28 points from 13 home games (8 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss), scoring 14 and conceding only 7. Shturmi's away form is solid, ranking 2nd in the away table with 17 points from 13 away matches (3 wins, 8 draws, 2 losses). Shturmi is hard to beat on the road, with only two away defeats all season.

Win Probability: Telavi or Shturmi?

Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: Telavi has a 46% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Shturmi has a 21% chance. The odds imply a tight match, with the draw priced low. Telavi's dominant home record (8 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss) and their unbeaten H2H record against Shturmi are the main reasons for their favorite status. Shturmi's resilience away from home - 8 draws in 13 away games - significantly boosts the draw probability. Shturmi's lower win chance reflects their struggle to beat Telavi historically and Telavi's strong defense at home.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a close contest. The available odds show a home win for Telavi priced around 2.72 to 2.75, a draw at 1.98 to 2.05, and an away win for Shturmi at 3.75 to 3.85. The low draw odds confirm that a stalemate is a very realistic outcome. Our Telavi vs Shturmi prediction is a home win or draw for Telavi. The betting tip is a double chance on Telavi or draw. Based on the stats, Telavi's home strength should be enough to avoid defeat, but Shturmi's ability to grind out draws on the road makes a close, low-scoring match the most likely scenario.