Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC - Thanh Hoa prediction 11/09/2026

Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC vs Thanh Hoa prediction for the V-League match on Sep 11, 2026 at 11:00. Based on recent form and head-to-head stats, Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC is the favorite with a 52% win probability. The home team looks strong, but Thanh Hoa can cause problems.

Team Form

Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC comes into this match in excellent shape. Their last five results are W, L, W, W, W. In their most recent game, they beat Hai Phong 4-1 away on Sep 05. Before that, they lost 1-2 at home to Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC in the Cup, but they also have big wins like 4-1 against The Cong Viettel FC and 3-0 against Hong Linh Ha Tinh. They even beat Thanh Hoa 2-0 away on May 31.

Thanh Hoa's recent form is mixed: W, L, L, D, L. They won their last match 3-2 at home against SHB Da Nang on Sep 06. However, before that they suffered a heavy 0-4 loss away to SHB Da Nang and a 0-2 home defeat to Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC. A 1-1 draw with Hoang Anh Gia Lai and a 0-2 loss to Cong An Ha Noi complete the picture. Thanh Hoa has struggled for consistency.

Head-to-Head Record

The last five meetings between these teams show Thanh Hoa with a slight edge: 3 wins for Thanh Hoa, 2 for Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC, and no draws. The most recent clash was on May 31, 2026, when Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC won 2-0 away. Before that, Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC won 4-0 at home on Aug 23, 2025. Thanh Hoa won the three earlier matches: 3-0 in the Cup on Mar 12, 2024, 1-0 in the Cup on Jul 10, 2023, and 5-1 in a friendly on Feb 28, 2020. The trend has shifted in favor of Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC in the last two V-League meetings.

League Table Positions

In the V-League overall standings, Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC sits 2nd with 3 points from 1 match (4 goals scored, 1 conceded). Thanh Hoa is 6th, also with 3 points from 1 match (3 scored, 2 conceded). At home, Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC has not played yet this season. Away from home, Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC is ranked 1st after that 4-1 win. Thanh Hoa has not played an away league match this season. The table is very early, but Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC's goal difference is superior.

Win Probability: Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC or Thanh Hoa?

We calculate the win probability based on form, head-to-head record, and league positions. Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC has a 52% chance to win, the draw is at 23%, and Thanh Hoa has a 25% chance. Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC's strong recent form (4 wins in 5) and the 2-0 away win in the last H2H give them the edge. Thanh Hoa's inconsistent results and poor head-to-head record in the last two V-League matches lower their chances. Home advantage for Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC also plays a role, even though they have not played a home league game yet this season.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the data. Based on the stats, our Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC vs Thanh Hoa prediction is a home win. Bookmakers would likely see Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC as the favorite given their form and the 4-0 and 2-0 wins in the last two V-League H2H meetings. A bet on Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC to win looks like the best betting tip. The total goals could be over 2.5, as both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently.