Match info
- Competição
- Liga de Expansion MX · Mexico
- Início
- Estádio
- Estadio Francisco Zarco, Durango
- Capacidade
- 18.000
- Gramado
- grass
Forma recente
últimos 5 jogos
Alacranes de DurangoAlacranes de DurangoCD Tapatio50VLiga de Expansion MX
Tampico MaderoAlacranes de Durango00ELiga de Expansion MX
Alacranes de DurangoMineros de Zacatecas42VLiga de Expansion MX
Dorados de SinaloaAlacranes de Durango01VLiga de Expansion MX
Alacranes de DurangoCruz Azul Hidalgo20VLiga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala FCAtletico La PazTlaxcala FC22ELiga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala FCPiratas Veracruz42VLiga de Expansion MX
Atletico MoreliaTlaxcala FC11ELiga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala FCCancun FC41VLiga de Expansion MX
CD TapatioTlaxcala FC40DLiga de Expansion MX
Confronto direto
3 confrontosAlacranes de DurangoTlaxcala FC11Liga de Expansion MX
Tlaxcala FCAlacranes de Durango12Liga de Expansion MX
Alacranes de DurangoTlaxcala FC30Liga de Expansion MX
Liga de Expansion MX 2026 · classificação
| # | Time | J | V | E | D | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico La Paz | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 30:17 | 24 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | 24 |
| 3 |  Atletico Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:15 | 23 |
| 4 |  Piratas Veracruz | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 5 |  Venados FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 28:23 | 21 |
| 6 |  Durango | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 7 |  Cancun FC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 8 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 26:23 | 18 |
| 9 |  CD Tapatio | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 23:25 | 17 |
| 10 |  Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | 16 |
| 11 |  Correcaminos UAT | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | 16 |
| 12 | Tlaxcala FC | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 25:27 | 16 |
| 13 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12:24 | 16 |
| 14 |  Tampico Madero | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:20 | 14 |
| 16 |  CD Tepatitlan de Morelos | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10:37 | 7 |
Alacranes de Durango vs Tlaxcala FC prediction is all about the September 5, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX clash at Estadio Francisco Zarco. The numbers point to a clear favorite: Alacranes de Durango has a 55% win probability, the draw is at 25%, and Tlaxcala FC has only a 20% chance. This betting tips preview covers team form, head-to-head, league table positions, and the latest odds to help you answer who will win.
Team Form
Alacranes de Durango comes into this match with a poor recent run: D, L, L, L, W in their last five outings. They drew 0-0 at Correcaminos UAT, lost 1-2 at home to Leones Negros UDG, fell 0-2 at Cancun FC, suffered a heavy 0-3 home defeat to Piratas Veracruz, and then beat Atletico La Paz 1-0 away. The home form is a real concern with three losses in the last four at Estadio Francisco Zarco.
Tlaxcala FC's away form is even worse: W, L, D, L, L across the last five matches. They started with a 3-1 home win over Venados FC, then lost 2-3 at CD Tepatitlan de Morelos, drew 2-2 at Dorados de Sinaloa, lost 0-2 at home to Alebrijes de Oaxaca, and were beaten 1-3 at Mineros de Zacatecas. That is just one win in five, and the defense has been leaking goals.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Alacranes de Durango. In two meetings, Alacranes de Durango won both, scoring 5 goals and conceding only 1. The last H2H was on March 27, 2023, when Alacranes de Durango won 2-1 at Tlaxcala FC. Before that, on August 2, 2022, Alacranes de Durango crushed Tlaxcala FC 3-0 at home. The H2H stats show 100% win rate for the home team in this fixture.
League Table Positions
Alacranes de Durango sits 12th in the Liga de Expansion MX standings with 7 points from 6 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Tlaxcala FC is not in the top 12 of the league table, which indicates a lower position and a weaker campaign so far. The home side has a slight edge in the standings, but both teams are struggling this season.
Win Probability: Alacranes de Durango or Tlaxcala FC?
Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, we calculate the win probability for Alacranes de Durango at 55%, the draw at 25%, and Tlaxcala FC at 20%. The bookmakers' average odds of 1.63 for a home win translate to a 48.8% chance after removing the margin, but the H2H dominance (two wins in two) and the home advantage push that number up to 55%. Tlaxcala FC's poor away results and lower league ranking justify the 20% chance. The draw remains a possibility at 25%, but the match outcome is more likely to be a home win.
Odds & Match Prediction
Alacranes de Durango vs Tlaxcala FC betting odds show a clear favorite. Across several bookmakers, the home win is priced between 1.60 and 1.67, the draw around 2.30, and the away win from 4.45 to 5.00. The average odds are 1.63 for Alacranes de Durango, 2.30 for the draw, and 4.75 for Tlaxcala FC. Our prediction is a home victory for Alacranes de Durango. The team has the H2H edge, the home field, and a slightly better position in the league. Even with the recent poor form, the stats point to Alacranes de Durango winning this match. Betting tips: consider the home win, but the odds are short, so double-check team news before placing any bet.