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Tlaxcala FC - Tampico Madero prediction 12/09/2026

Match info

Competição
Liga de Expansion MX · Mexico
Início
Estádio
Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala
Capacidade
10.000
Gramado
grass
Árbitro
O. Ortega

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Tlaxcala FC

Atletico La PazTlaxcala FC22ELiga de Expansion MX

Tlaxcala FCPiratas Veracruz42VLiga de Expansion MX

Atletico MoreliaTlaxcala FC11ELiga de Expansion MX

Tlaxcala FCCancun FC41VLiga de Expansion MX

CD TapatioTlaxcala FC40DLiga de Expansion MX
Tampico Madero

Atletico MoreliaTampico Madero12VLiga de Expansion MX

Tampico MaderoAlacranes de Durango00ELiga de Expansion MX

CD Tepatitlan de MorelosTampico Madero31DLiga de Expansion MX

Correcaminos UATTampico Madero10DLiga de Expansion MX

Tampico MaderoDorados de Sinaloa11ELiga de Expansion MX

Confronto direto

4 confrontos
Tlaxcala FC 1Empates 30 Tampico Madero

Tlaxcala FCTampico Madero31Liga de Expansion MX

Tampico MaderoTlaxcala FC00Liga de Expansion MX

Tlaxcala FCTampico Madero11Liga de Expansion MX

Tlaxcala FCTampico Madero00Liga de Expansion MX

Liga de Expansion MX 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Atletico La Paz1373330:1724
2Leones Negros UDG1373329:1924
3Atletico Morelia1372423:1523
4Piratas Veracruz1363421:1421
5Venados FC1363428:2321
6Durango1363416:1121
7Cancun FC1354422:1819
8Alebrijes de Oaxaca1461714:2519
9Mineros de Zacatecas1353526:2318
10CD Tapatio1352623:2517
11Dorados de Sinaloa1344523:2416
12Correcaminos UAT1344521:2216
13Tlaxcala FC1344525:2716
14Tampico Madero1343614:2015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo1435617:2214
16CD Tepatitlan de Morelos13211010:377

Our Tlaxcala FC vs Tampico Madero prediction for the Liga de Expansion MX match on Sep 12, 2026, points to a tight contest. The home side Tlaxcala FC is the favorite with a 35% win probability, but the draw at 40% is the most likely single outcome. Tampico Madero has a 25% chance of winning this match.

Team Form

Tlaxcala FC comes into this game with inconsistent form: D, W, L, D, L in their last five matches. They drew 1-1 away against Alacranes de Durango on Sep 05, then beat Venados FC 3-1 at home on Aug 29. Before that, they lost 3-2 to CD Tepatitlan de Morelos, drew 2-2 with Dorados de Sinaloa, and lost 2-0 at home to Alebrijes de Oaxaca. At home, they have one win and one loss in the last two, scoring 3 and conceding 3.

Tampico Madero shows a pattern of alternating wins and losses: W, L, W, L, W. They won 4-3 at home against Venados FC on Sep 06, lost 2-0 away to Mineros de Zacatecas on Aug 30, beat Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-1 at home, lost 4-0 away to Leones Negros UDG, and beat Cruz Azul Hidalgo 3-0 at home. All their wins came at home, while both away games ended in defeats with no goals scored.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Tlaxcala FC and Tampico Madero is perfectly balanced - all three previous meetings ended in draws. The most recent clash on Mar 22, 2026, finished 0-0. The other two matches, on Oct 11, 2025, and Mar 02, 2025, both ended 1-1 and 0-0 respectively. This history suggests another close game is likely.

League Table Positions

In the overall Liga de Expansion MX standings, Tampico Madero sits 9th with 10 points from 7 games (3 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Tlaxcala FC is outside the top 12. At home, Tampico Madero is strong - 2nd in the home table with 10 points from 4 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Tlaxcala FC's home form is not among the top 8. Away from home, Tampico Madero has struggled, while Tlaxcala FC's away record is also unremarkable. The table suggests a slight edge for Tampico Madero overall, but home advantage could level the field.

Win Probability: Tlaxcala FC or Tampico Madero?

Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Tlaxcala FC has a 35% chance of winning, the draw is at 40%, and Tampico Madero has a 25% chance. The bookmakers' odds (home win around 2.25, draw as low as 2.08, away win around 3.60) indicate the draw is the most probable result. The all-draw H2H history and both teams' inconsistent form support this. Tlaxcala FC's home edge gives them a slightly better chance than Tampico Madero, but the draw remains the standout pick.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best odds available show Tlaxcala FC to win at 2.25, the draw at 2.08, and Tampico Madero to win at 3.60. Bookmakers see this as a very even match with a low-scoring draw as the favorite outcome. Our Tlaxcala FC vs Tampico Madero prediction is a draw, but if you are looking for a winner, Tlaxcala FC has the home advantage. For betting tips, the under 2.5 goals market could also be worth considering given the H2H history of low scores.

Tlaxcala FC vs Tampico Madero – FAQ

Who will win Tlaxcala FC vs Tampico Madero?
Tlaxcala FC has a 35% chance of winning, the draw is at 40%, and Tampico Madero has a 25% chance. The most likely single outcome is a draw, but Tlaxcala FC is the favorite to win if there is a winner.
What is the win probability for Tlaxcala FC?
Tlaxcala FC has a 35% win probability. This is based on home advantage, odds of 2.25, and their recent home win against Venados FC, though their overall form is inconsistent.
When is the Tlaxcala FC vs Tampico Madero match?
The match is on Sep 12, 2026, at 22:00 local time. It will be played at Estadio Tlahuicole in Tlaxcala, Mexico, as part of the Liga de Expansion MX.
What are the odds for the match?
The odds for Tlaxcala FC vs Tampico Madero are around 2.25 for a home win, 2.08 for the draw, and 3.60 for an away win. These odds reflect a very close match with the draw as the most likely result.
What is the head-to-head record between Tlaxcala FC and Tampico Madero?
All three previous matches between Tlaxcala FC and Tampico Madero ended in draws. The scores were 0-0, 1-1, and 0-0, showing a pattern of tight, low-scoring games.