Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United prediction 29/08/2026

The Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United prediction for the Premier League match on Aug 29 at 16:30 is here. Based on the stats, Tottenham Hotspur has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Newcastle United has a 25% chance. The game takes place at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London.

Team Form

Tottenham Hotspur come into this match with a mixed set of recent results. Their last five games show two wins, two draws, and one loss. The most recent match was a 5-1 home win against Charlton Athletic in the League Cup on Aug 26. Before that, they lost 3-0 away to Brentford in the Premier League on Aug 22. In friendlies, they drew 2-2 with TSG 1899 Hoffenheim on Aug 16, beat the same opponent 3-0 on Aug 15, and drew 1-1 with Getafe on Aug 08.

Newcastle United's form over their last five matches reads one win, two draws, and two losses. They beat West Bromwich Albion 3-2 at home in the League Cup on Aug 26. In the Premier League, they drew 2-2 at home against Liverpool on Aug 23. Their friendly results include a 1-1 draw with Strasbourg on Aug 16, a 2-1 loss to Bayer Leverkusen on Aug 15, and a 3-1 loss away to Everton on Aug 12.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams is tight. In the last 21 meetings, Tottenham Hotspur have 9 wins, Newcastle United have 8, and there have been 4 draws. Looking at the last five matches, Newcastle have the edge. On Feb 10, 2026, Newcastle won 2-1 at Tottenham in the Premier League. The Dec 02, 2025 Premier League game at Newcastle ended 2-2. Newcastle also won 2-0 at home in the League Cup on Oct 29, 2025. A friendly on Aug 03, 2025 finished 1-1. And on Jan 04, 2025, Newcastle won 2-1 at Tottenham in the Premier League. The recent head-to-head stats show Newcastle United have avoided defeat in the last five encounters.

League Table Positions

The Premier League season is just starting. Newcastle United sit 11th with 1 point from 1 game, scoring 2 and conceding 2. Tottenham Hotspur are not in the current top 12 overall table, as they lost their opening match 3-0 to Brentford. At home, Newcastle are 8th with 1 point. Tottenham have not yet played a home league game this season. The away table shows limited data, with Newcastle yet to play away. The standings suggest both teams are looking for their first league win.

Win Probability: Tottenham Hotspur or Newcastle United?

Who will win this match? We calculate the win probability based on available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and the home advantage. The bookmaker odds average around 2.30 for a Tottenham win, 2.50 for the draw, and 3.00 for a Newcastle win. Removing the margin, the implied chances are roughly 42% for Tottenham, 33% for the draw, and 25% for Newcastle. Tottenham's home advantage at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is a factor, but their recent form is inconsistent. Newcastle's recent H2H record is strong, with three wins in the last five meetings, but their away form has been poor. The draw probability is significant, as both teams have drawn multiple recent matches. Based on all this, Tottenham Hotspur has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Newcastle United has a 25% chance. Tottenham are the more likely winner, but a draw is a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for the Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United match show a close contest. The best home win odds are around 2.60, the draw is as low as 2.30, and an away win is priced up to 3.20. Some bookmakers have the home win as low as 2.10. These betting tips reflect the tight nature of this fixture. Our Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United prediction is that the home side has a slight edge, but the value might be in the draw market. Based on the stats, a low-scoring draw or a narrow Tottenham win are the most likely match outcomes.