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Mariehamn - TPS Turku prediction 12/09/2026

Match info

Competição
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Mariehamn

JaroMariehamn11EVeikkausliiga

MariehamnIlves11EVeikkausliiga

Seinajoen JKMariehamn21DVeikkausliiga

MariehamnTPS Turku10VVeikkausliiga

LahtiMariehamn21DVeikkausliiga
TPS Turku

LahtiTPS Turku51DVeikkausliiga

TPS TurkuJaro01DVeikkausliiga

TPS TurkuIlves03DVeikkausliiga

MariehamnTPS Turku10DVeikkausliiga

TPS TurkuSeinajoen JK00EVeikkausliiga

Escalações

confirmada
Mariehamn · Formação 4-2-3-1 · jogadores por posição
7Larsson
2Nurmi
20Patut
5Koivisto
8Heyden
27Richtnér
1Lund
11Svedberg
23Widlund
31Ngulube
14Bergvik

Mariehamn

Titulares
  • 7A. LarssonSwedenF
  • 2N. NurmiFinlandD
  • 20E. PatutFinlandM
  • 5T. KoivistoFinlandD
  • 8J. van der HeydenNetherlandsM
  • 27L. RichtnérSwedenD
  • 1K. LundSwedenG
  • 11J. SvedbergSwedenM
  • 23V. WidlundM
  • 31Samson NgulubeD
  • 14Arvid BergvikM
Reservas
  • 19T. JakobsenNorwayF
  • 64M. HyvönenFinlandM
  • 18A. StroudSwedenD
  • 43L. AnderssonFinlandF
  • 3A. SoiniemiFinlandD
  • 12O. HeinoFinlandG
  • 16A. HuttunenFinlandM

TPS Turku

Titulares
  • 20M. KauppilaFinlandD
  • 41S. AniniFinlandM
  • 6Pau JuvantenySpainM
  • 1E. HenrikssonFinlandG
  • 99K. VisserNetherlandsF
  • 22T. ZaalNetherlandsM
  • 10M. KönkköläFinlandM
  • 12C. AzongnitodeBeninD
  • 25Abdoulie TambaD
  • 14M. HrádeckýFinlandD
  • 28T. VakipartaM
Reservas
  • 26L. IkonenFinlandM
  • 2O. HäggströmFinlandD
  • 24N. TaloFinlandD
  • 16E. TurkkiFinlandD
  • 35D. LauriFinlandG
  • 20N. VeinbergsF
  • 17A. SihvonenFinlandD
  • 9L. IvanovicAustraliaF

Confronto direto

19 confrontos
Mariehamn 3Empates 124 TPS Turku

MariehamnTPS Turku10Veikkausliiga

TPS TurkuMariehamn30Veikkausliiga

MariehamnTPS Turku11Veikkausliiga

MariehamnTPS Turku11Ykkoscup

MariehamnTPS Turku22Cup

TPS TurkuMariehamn11Veikkausliiga

MariehamnTPS Turku10Veikkausliiga

MariehamnTPS Turku11Cup

MariehamnTPS Turku11Cup

MariehamnTPS Turku22Veikkausliiga

Veikkausliiga 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1KuPS22127338:2343
2Inter Turku22119229:1642
3HJK Helsinki22114736:2737
4Gnistan22106636:2936
5AC Oulu22104825:2534
6VPS Vaasa2296729:2233
7Lahti2295826:1932
8TPS Turku2287728:2331
9Ilves22741134:3725
10Seinajoen JK22471125:3319
11Jaro22361318:4415
12Mariehamn22351417:4314

The Mariehamn vs TPS Turku prediction for the Veikkausliiga match on Sep 12, 2026 at 14:00 points to a tight contest. Based on stats, Mariehamn has a 30% win probability, TPS Turku also has 30%, and the draw is the most likely outcome at 40%.

Team Form

Mariehamn come into this match with a mixed run of L, W, W, W, L in their last five games. They won 2-0 at home against Jaro and 2-0 at home against Seinajoen JK, but lost away to Lahti and Ilves. TPS Turku's last five results are D, D, D, W, D – a single 3-1 away win at VPS Vaasa and four draws. Their recent form shows they are hard to beat, with three straight draws before this match.

Head-to-Head Record

In 18 previous meetings, Mariehamn have won 2, TPS Turku have won 4, and 12 matches ended in draws. The last head-to-head was on Aug 01, 2026 – TPS Turku won 3-0 at home. The match before that, on Apr 04, 2026, ended 1-1 at Mariehamn. The head-to-head record clearly highlights a strong draw trend.

League Table Positions

Mariehamn sit 12th in the Veikkausliiga overall table with 14 points from 22 matches (3W, 5D, 14L). TPS Turku are 8th with 31 points (8W, 7D, 7L). In home form, Mariehamn are not in the top eight, while TPS Turku rank 8th in away form with 1 win, 5 draws, and 5 losses on the road. The gap in points and standings gives TPS Turku a slight edge, but their away record is win-shy.

Win Probability: Mariehamn or TPS Turku?

We calculate the win probability as follows: Mariehamn win – 30%, Draw – 40%, TPS Turku win – 30%. This is based on the bookmaker odds (home 2.45, draw 2.38, away 3.10), adjusted for recent form, the head-to-head draw trend, and the league table positions. The draw is the most likely result because both teams have struggled to turn close games into wins, and H2H history supports a stalemate.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a very open match. The 1X2 odds from one bookmaker show Mariehamn at 2.45, the draw at 2.38, and TPS Turku at 3.10. Based on the stats, our prediction is a low-scoring draw. Mariehamn vs TPS Turku prediction therefore leans towards the draw, with a small chance for either side to nick it. The betting tips suggest the draw as the best value pick given the data.

Mariehamn vs TPS Turku – FAQ

Who will win Mariehamn vs TPS Turku?
Based on the stats, Mariehamn has a 30% chance of winning, TPS Turku also has a 30% chance, and the draw is the most probable outcome at 40%. The match is in Veikkausliiga on Sep 12, 2026.
What is the win probability for Mariehamn?
Mariehamn's win probability is 30%, exactly the same as TPS Turku's 30%. The draw is the most likely result at 40%, reflecting the high number of draws in head-to-head meetings and both teams' recent form.
When is the Mariehamn vs TPS Turku match?
The match is scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, at 14:00 local time. It is a Veikkausliiga fixture in Finland.
What are the odds for the match?
One bookmaker offers odds of 2.45 for a Mariehamn win, 2.38 for the draw, and 3.10 for a TPS Turku win. Odds can vary, so check your bookmaker for the latest prices.
What is the head-to-head record between Mariehamn and TPS Turku?
In 18 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 2, TPS Turku won 4, and 12 games ended in draws. The last match on Aug 01, 2026 was a 3-0 away win for TPS Turku.