Union de Santa Fe - CA Sarmiento prediction 28/08/2026

The Union de Santa Fe vs CA Sarmiento prediction points to a tight Primera Division match on Aug 28, 2026, at 22:00. Based on the latest odds and team form, Union de Santa Fe enters as the slight favorite with a calculated 52% win probability. Read on for the full betting tips, head-to-head record, and odds analysis.

Team Form

Union de Santa Fe comes into this match with a mixed set of results: two wins and three losses in the last five (W, L, L, W, L). Most recently, they beat Aldosivi 3-1 away on Aug 21, but a 1-0 loss at San Lorenzo de Almagro and a 2-1 home defeat to Central Cordoba Santiago exposed some defensive issues. At home, Union de Santa Fe have one win and one loss in their last two.

CA Sarmiento are in much better shape, posting four wins and a single loss in their last five (W, W, W, W, L). They won their last three home matches, beating Estudiantes La Plata 2-0, CA Huracan 2-0, and Independiente Rivadavia 2-1. Their only recent setback was a 3-2 defeat away at Banfield. This CA Sarmiento form makes the Union de Santa Fe vs CA Sarmiento prediction even more interesting.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head between Union de Santa Fe and CA Sarmiento spans 12 meetings. CA Sarmiento holds the edge with 7 wins, while Union de Santa Fe has 4 wins and there has been 1 draw. The last meeting, on Feb 26, 2026, in the Primera Division, ended in a 3-1 away win for Union de Santa Fe. In the previous five matches, both sides have traded wins, with Union winning the most recent encounter but CA Sarmiento winning the three before that.

League Table Positions

In the overall Primera Division standings, neither side appears in the top 12 data provided. At home, CA Sarmiento ranks 4th with 16 points from 8 games (5W, 1D, 2L), showing strong home form. Union de Santa Fe is not listed in the home top 8. Away from home, Union de Santa Fe is not ranked in the top 8, while CA Sarmiento is also absent. The available table data suggests CA Sarmiento has been more consistent in home fixtures this season, but Union de Santa Fe’s overall position is not visible in the provided snippet.

Win Probability: Union de Santa Fe or CA Sarmiento?

For this Union de Santa Fe vs CA Sarmiento prediction, we calculate the win probability based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and the head-to-head record. The best odds available imply a 52% chance for a Union de Santa Fe win, a 25% probability for a draw, and a 23% chance for a CA Sarmiento win. The odds (1.86 for home) indicate Union de Santa Fe is the favorite, boosted by playing at home. However, CA Sarmiento’s excellent recent form and superior head-to-head record add weight to their chances. The draw probability sits between the two sides, as it often does in tightly contested Primera Division matches. According to our analysis, Union de Santa Fe has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and CA Sarmiento has a 23% chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

The betting odds for the Union de Santa Fe vs CA Sarmiento match show home win prices from 1.70 to 1.86, the draw around 2.15 to 3.60, and an away win from 4.20 to 4.75. Bookmakers clearly see Union de Santa Fe as the favorite. Our Union de Santa Fe vs CA Sarmiento prediction aligns with the odds: a home win is the most likely outcome, but CA Sarmiento’s four wins in five games make them a dangerous underdog. Based on the stats, betting tips point to a low-scoring home victory, but a draw cannot be ruled out.