Urartu Banants Yerevan FC - FC Noah prediction 12/09/2026

The Urartu Banants Yerevan FC vs FC Noah prediction for September 12, 2026, points toward an away win for the league leaders in this Armenian Premier League clash at Urartu Stadium. The match kicks off at 16:00 local time, and based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and league table, FC Noah has around a 55% chance to win, with Urartu Banants Yerevan FC at about 22% and the draw close to 23%.

Team Form

Urartu Banants Yerevan FC come into this match with mixed results. Their last five games in all competitions show L, D, W, W, L. That run includes a 2-1 loss away to Bkma Yerevan on Sep 06, a 1-1 home draw with Alashkert FC on Aug 28, and a 1-0 away win at Shirak on Aug 22. At home this Premier League season they have one win, two draws, and no losses in three matches, scoring six and conceding three.

FC Noah are in dominant form. Their last five results read W, W, W, W, L. The only loss was a 2-1 away defeat in the UEFA Conference League Qualification against Sion on Aug 13. In the league they have been perfect - five straight wins, most recently a 3-2 home victory against Gandzasar Kapan on Sep 04 and a 4-0 demolition of Ararat Yerevan on Aug 30.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides leans toward FC Noah. In their last 23 meetings across all competitions, Urartu Banants Yerevan FC won 5, there were 9 draws, and FC Noah won 9. Recent history is even more telling: in the last five matches dating back to May 2025, Urartu Banants Yerevan FC have not won a single game (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). The most recent encounter on May 27, 2026, ended in a heavy 0-5 home defeat for Urartu Banants Yerevan FC. Before that, on May 14, 2026, Noah won 4-2 in the Cup. The October 2025 meetings both ended in goalless draws.

League Table Positions

Looking at the Premier League standings after six matchdays, FC Noah sit top with a perfect record - 6 wins, 18 points, 16 goals scored and only 5 conceded. Urartu Banants Yerevan FC are down in 7th place with 8 points from 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. The gap between the two teams in terms of points (10) and overall performance is significant. Away from home, FC Noah have also been perfect with 2 wins from 2, while Urartu Banants Yerevan FC at home have drawn twice and won once.

Win Probability: Urartu Banants Yerevan FC or FC Noah?

Based on all available stats, here are the calculated chances for the Urartu Banants Yerevan FC vs FC Noah prediction:

• FC Noah win: 55%
• Draw: 23%
• Urartu Banants Yerevan FC win: 22%

We calculated these probabilities by taking the 1X2 odds (home 4.00, draw 3.40, away 1.72) and removing the typical bookmaker margin. Then we adjusted slightly based on current form and the league table gap. FC Noah's perfect league record, recent 5-0 win in this fixture, and strong away form all push their probability above the raw implied odds figure. Urartu Banants Yerevan FC's home strength and some recent draws in the H2H keep the draw and home win probabilities from dropping too low.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see FC Noah as the clear favorite for this Urartu Banants Yerevan FC vs FC Noah matchup. The available odds are: Urartu Banants Yerevan FC win at 4.00, a draw at 3.40, and FC Noah win at 1.72. Those numbers reflect the huge difference in league standing and form. Our betting tips lean toward the away win, but the draw odds are also worth a look given how often these teams have shared the points in head-to-head history. Based on the stats, an FC Noah victory is the single most likely outcome, but with Urartu Banants Yerevan FC's undefeated home record this season a low-scoring contest with a goal or two deciding it seems probable.