Seravezza Pozzi - US Follonica Gavorrano prediction 25/10/2026

Seravezza Pozzi vs US Follonica Gavorrano prediction for the Serie D match on October 25, 2026. The bookmakers see Seravezza Pozzi as the favorite, and our win probability model gives the home side a 48% chance to take all three points. The draw sits at 26%, while US Follonica Gavorrano also has a 26% probability of winning. This betting tips guide breaks down team form, head-to-head record, and the latest odds to help you decide who will win.

Team Form

Seravezza Pozzi come into this match with solid recent results. In their last five games, they have three wins, one draw, and one loss. The wins include a 1-0 home victory over Flaminia Civita Castellana, a 3-0 home win against Terranuova Traiana, and a 3-0 away win at SCD Progresso Calcio. The only defeat in that run was a 2-1 loss away to Siena. Their most recent outing was a 0-0 draw away at Asd Rondinella Marzocco.

US Follonica Gavorrano are unbeaten in their last five matches, with two wins and three draws. They beat Sasso Marconi 1924 2-1 at home and won 2-0 away at San Donato Tavarnelle. The three draws were all 1-1 results, against Prato, Terranuova Traiana, and Flaminia Civita Castellana. While the away side is hard to beat, they have drawn three of their last four, which suggests they may struggle to turn tight games into wins.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two Serie D sides shows US Follonica Gavorrano with a clear advantage. In nine previous meetings, US Follonica Gavorrano have won five, Seravezza Pozzi have won two, and two matches ended in draws. The most recent clash, on March 1, 2026, finished 1-1. Before that, Seravezza Pozzi won back-to-back home matches: 2-1 in October 2025 and 1-0 in December 2024. US Follonica Gavorrano's last away win at this venue was a 2-1 result in October 2023.

League Table Positions

Neither Seravezza Pozzi nor US Follonica Gavorrano appear in the top 12 of the available Serie D standings. Without exact league table data, it is difficult to assess their positions, but the odds and recent form suggest both are competitive sides in the division.

Win Probability: Seravezza Pozzi or US Follonica Gavorrano?

Based on the odds, team form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probability as follows: Seravezza Pozzi 48%, draw 26%, US Follonica Gavorrano 26%. The bookmaker odds (home 1.92, draw 3.35, away 3.35) imply a 47% home win chance after removing the margin, but Seravezza Pozzi's strong home form and recent H2H wins at this stadium push that number slightly higher. US Follonica Gavorrano's unbeaten run and historical edge in the fixture keep their chances at a respectable 26%. The most likely outcome is a home win, but a draw is a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds for this match are: Seravezza Pozzi win at 1.92, draw at 3.35, and US Follonica Gavorrano win at 3.35. These odds confirm that bookmakers see Seravezza Pozzi as the favorite. Our Seravezza Pozzi vs US Follonica Gavorrano prediction is a home win, but with a low margin. The betting tip is to back Seravezza Pozzi to win, but consider the draw as a hedge given US Follonica Gavorrano's recent string of stalemates.