Probabilidade de vitóriapelas odds 1X2
Valencia 26%Empate 38%36% Villarreal
Match info
- Competição
- Primera · Spain
- Início
- Estádio
- Mestalla, Valencia
- Capacidade
- 48.600
- Gramado
- grass
Forma recente
últimos 5 jogos
ValenciaValenciaAthletic Bilbao00EPrimera
Racing SantanderValencia22EPrimera
ValenciaReal Sociedad23DPrimera
AlavesValencia01VPrimera
SevillaValencia10DPrimera
VillarrealLiverpoolVillarreal43DUEFA Champions League
VillarrealElche00EPrimera
VillarrealNapoli31VUEFA Champions League
Real MadridVillarreal10DPrimera
VillarrealLevante UD31VPrimera
Full Time Result
comparar casas de apostasCasa de apostas
Melhor cotação disponível
Escalações
confirmadaValencia · Formação 4-2-3-1 · jogadores por posição1Dimitrievski
5Tárrega
14Gaya
Haas
4Diakhaby
24Maffeo
2Rodriguez
8Guerra
11Rioja
18Pepelu
7Groeneveld
19Raba
Valencia
Titulares
- 7Arnaut Danjuma GroeneveldNetherlandsATA
- 5César TárregaSpainDEF
- 19Daniel RabaSpainATA
- 14Jose GayaSpainDEF
- 2Guido RodriguezArgentinaMEI
- 8Javi GuerraSpainMEI
- Justin De HaasNetherlandsDEF
- 11Luis RiojaSpainMEI
- 4Mouctar DiakhabyGuineaDEF
- 24Pablo MaffeoSpainDEF
- 18PepeluSpainMEI
- 1Stole DimitrievskiMacedoniaGOL
Reservas
- 33Aaron MayolSpainDEF
- 37Aimar BlazquezSpainATA
- 15Aliou DiengMaliMEI
- 22Arnau MartínezSpainDEF
- 27David OtorbiSpainMEI
- 23Filip UgrinicSwitzerlandMEI
- 10Harvey ElliottEnglandATA
- 9Hugo DuroSpainATA
- 21Jesús VázquezSpainDEF
- 25Kayne van OevelenNetherlandsGOL
- 39Ryunosuke SatoJapanMEI
Villarreal
Titulares
- 10Alberto MoleiroSpainMEI
- 3Alex FreemanUSADEF
- 22Ayoze PerezSpainATA
- 7Gerard MorenoSpainATA
- 11Ilias AkhomachMoroccoMEI
- 8Juan FoythArgentinaDEF
- 18Pape GueyeSenegalMEI
- 25Peter GulacsiHungaryGOL
- 12Renato VeigaPortugalDEF
- 14Santi ComesañaSpainMEI
- 23Sergi CardonaSpainDEF
Reservas
- 5Alassane DiattaSenegalMEI
- 16Carlos MaciàSpainMEI
- Carlos RomeroSpainDEF
- 9Georges MikautadzeGeorgiaATA
- 40Joselillo GaitánSpainMEI
- 2Logan CostaCape VerdeDEF
- 1Luiz JúniorBrazilGOL
- Nathan-Dylan SalibaCanadaMEI
- 27Nizar El JmiliSpainMEI
- 6Pau NavarroSpainDEF
- 15Santiago MouriñoUruguayDEF
- 17Tajon BuchananCanadaMEI
- 21Tani OluwaseyiCanadaATA
Confronto direto
32 confrontosValencia 14Empates 513 Villarreal
VillarrealValencia21Primera
ValenciaVillarreal02Primera
VillarrealValencia11Primera
VillarrealValencia10Primera
ValenciaVillarreal31Primera
ValenciaVillarreal11Primera
VillarrealValencia21Primera
VillarrealValencia20Primera
VillarrealValencia20Primera
ValenciaVillarreal20Primera
Primera 2026 · classificação
| # | Time | J | V | E | D | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39:9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23:9 | 21 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:14 | 19 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:17 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 8 |  Celta Vigo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 10 |  Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:18 | 11 |
| 11 |  Levante | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 12 |  Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 13 |  Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Espanyol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 17 |  Racing Santander | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:25 | 8 |
| 18 |  Elche | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:17 | 7 |
| 19 | Valencia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6:18 | 4 |
Valencia vs Villarreal prediction for the Primera match on October 24, 2026, at 13:30 local time. Based on the latest betting odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Villarreal has a 38% win probability, while a draw is at 34% and Valencia at 28%.
Team Form
Valencia's last five league results show inconsistency: two draws, two losses, and one win. Their most recent home match ended 0-0 against Athletic Bilbao. The team has conceded in four of those five games. Villarreal also come in with mixed form. They lost 4-3 at Liverpool in the Champions League, drew 0-0 at Elche in the league, and beat Napoli 3-1 at home in Europe. In La Liga, they lost 1-0 at Real Madrid and beat Levante UD 3-1.
Head-to-Head Record
In the last five meetings, Villarreal won three times, Valencia won once, and one game ended in a draw. The overall H2H between these sides is almost even: 14 wins for Valencia, 13 for Villarreal, and 5 draws. The most recent clash in February 2026 saw Villarreal win 2-1 at home.
League Table Positions
Villarreal sit 12th in the Primera table with 9 points from 9 games, having scored and conceded 13 goals. Valencia are outside the top 12, meaning they are likely lower in the standings. This adds weight to Villarreal's slight favoritism in the odds.
Win Probability: Valencia or Villarreal?
We calculated the win probabilities from bookmaker odds, adjusting for recent form and home advantage. Villarreal has a 38% chance to win, the draw sits at 34%, and Valencia has a 28% chance. Villarreal's better recent record in this head-to-head and Valencia's lower league position support these numbers. So, based on the stats, Villarreal is the more likely winner, but the match could easily end in a draw.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmaker odds for the 1X2 market average around 3.20 for a Valencia win, 2.30 for a draw, and 2.40 for a Villarreal win. This suggests the bookmakers see Villarreal as the favorite, with a low-margin edge. Our prediction: Villarreal to win, but a draw is also very possible given both teams' current form. For betting tips, the under 2.5 goals market might be worth a look, as both sides have shown defensive issues but failed to score consistently.
Valencia vs Villarreal – FAQ
Who will win Valencia vs Villarreal?
Villarreal is the slight favorite with a 38% win probability, compared to Valencia's 28% and the draw at 34%. The odds and recent head-to-head record lean toward an away win or a draw.
What is the win probability for Villarreal?
Villarreal has a 38% chance to beat Valencia on October 24. This number comes from averaging bookmaker odds and factoring in the teams' current form and league positions.
When is the Valencia vs Villarreal match?
The match is scheduled for October 24, 2026, at 13:30 local time at Mestalla stadium in Valencia. It is a Primera (La Liga) fixture in Spain.
What are the odds for the match?
The best available odds in the 1X2 market are roughly 3.20 for a Valencia win, 2.30 for a draw, and 2.40 for a Villarreal win. Bookmakers see Villarreal as the favorite, but the margins are tight.
What is the head-to-head record between Valencia and Villarreal?
Overall, Valencia have won 14 matches, Villarreal 13, and 5 ended in a draw. In their last five meetings, Villarreal claimed three wins, Valencia one, and there was one draw.