Valle De Egues - Club Deportivo Aoiz prediction 03/10/2026

The Valle De Egues vs Club Deportivo Aoiz prediction points to a tight Tercera Federacion match on Oct 3 at 10:30. Based on the stats, Valle De Egues is the slight favorite with a 52% win probability, while Club Deportivo Aoiz has a 22% chance and the draw sits at 26%.

Team Form

Valle De Egues comes into this match with a mixed run of results in their last five games: D, L, L, W, W. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 home draw against Mutilvera on Sep 19. Before that, they suffered a heavy 5-2 away loss to Subiza on Sep 13. At home, they have shown they can score, beating AD San Juan Pamplona 3-1 back in April.

Club Deportivo Aoiz's recent form reads D, W, D, W, L. They played out a 0-0 draw away at Huarte on Sep 18. Prior to that, they secured a solid 2-0 home win over Doneztebe Ft on Sep 11. Their away form has been steady, with two draws and a win in their last three road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is very limited. They have met only once before, on Mar 7, in a match that ended in a 1-1 draw. Club Deportivo Aoiz was the home side that day. With no wins for either team in this fixture, history suggests another close contest is on the cards.

League Table Positions

Neither Valle De Egues nor Club Deportivo Aoiz appears in the top 12 of the available league standings. The table is led by CD Boiro with 10 points from 4 games. The missing data for both teams makes it hard to compare their exact positions, but their recent form gives us enough to work with for this prediction.

Win Probability: Valle De Egues or Club Deportivo Aoiz?

Who will win this match? We calculate the chances as follows: Valle De Egues has a 52% probability to win, the draw is at 26%, and Club Deportivo Aoiz has a 22% chance. This calculation uses the available odds as a base - the inverse of the best home odds (2.50), draw odds (2.20), and away odds (4.33) - normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. We then adjusted for Valle De Egues's home advantage and their slightly better recent form, with two wins in their last five compared to Aoiz's one win in the same period. The only H2H match was a draw, which keeps the draw probability higher than usual. Valle De Egues is the more likely winner, but it is not a sure thing.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have set the odds for this Tercera Federacion clash. One bookmaker offers a home win at 2.50, a draw at 2.20, and an away win at 4.33. Another lists the home win at 1.90, the draw at 3.30, and the away win at 3.45. The odds show a clear disagreement among bookies, but the best price for a Valle De Egues win is 2.50, which implies a 40% chance before margin. Our Valle De Egues vs Club Deportivo Aoiz prediction is a home win, based on the stats and the higher probability we calculated. For betting tips, the home win offers value at odds of 2.50, while the draw is also a reasonable consideration given the H2H history.