Supra du Quebec - Vancouver FC prediction 10/10/2026

Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC prediction for the Premier League match on October 10, 2026. Based on the stats, Supra du Quebec is the favorite with a 42% win probability, while Vancouver FC has a 30% chance and the draw is at 28%.

Team Form

Supra du Quebec comes into this game with mixed results. In their last five matches, they have two wins and three losses. The most recent was a strong 5-0 home win against Pacific FC on October 4. Before that, they lost 6-0 away to Cavalry and beat Atletico Ottawa 2-0. The other two results were a 2-0 home loss to Halifax Wanderers and a 3-2 away defeat to Vancouver FC on September 6.

Vancouver FC has been hard to beat lately, with three draws in the last five games. They drew 1-1 at home with Forge FC Hamilton on September 26, 3-3 at home with Inter Toronto York 9 FC on September 23, and 1-1 away to Pacific FC on September 19. The only loss in this run was a 3-1 away defeat to Inter Toronto York 9 FC on September 13. Their last win was that 3-2 home victory over Supra du Quebec on September 6.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met three times in the Premier League. Vancouver FC leads the head-to-head with two wins, while Supra du Quebec has none and there has been one draw. The last meeting was on September 6, 2026, when Vancouver FC won 3-2 at home. On July 17, 2026, Vancouver FC won 5-1 away at Supra du Quebec. The only draw was a 1-1 on May 23, 2026, in Vancouver. The head-to-head record clearly favors the away side.

League Table Positions

In the overall standings, Vancouver FC is 4th with 33 points from 25 games, while Supra du Quebec is 5th with 28 points from 24 games. Vancouver FC has a better goal difference (+2 against -8). At home, Supra du Quebec ranks 7th with 14 points from 12 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses). Vancouver FC away ranks 6th with 11 points from 12 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 7 losses). The table shows Vancouver FC has the edge, but the home advantage for Supra du Quebec could be a factor.

Win Probability: Supra du Quebec or Vancouver FC?

After analyzing the odds, team form, head-to-head record and league positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: Supra du Quebec has a 42% chance to win, the draw is at 28%, and Vancouver FC has a 30% chance. The bookmakers' odds imply a higher chance for the home team, but the head-to-head and recent form of Vancouver FC reduce that edge. Vancouver FC has not lost in four of their last five and has beaten Supra du Quebec twice this season. So while Supra du Quebec is the favorite on paper, this match is more open than the odds suggest.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best odds available are 1.90 for a Supra du Quebec win, 3.50 for the draw, and 3.25 for a Vancouver FC win. These odds make Supra du Quebec the clear favorite with the bookmakers. However, based on the stats, a bet on Vancouver FC or the draw offers value. Our Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC prediction is that the home team has a slight edge, but the visitors are capable of getting a result. A draw or a narrow win for either side is the most likely outcome.