Skopje - Vardar Skopje prediction 11/10/2026

The Skopje vs Vardar Skopje prediction for October 11, 2026, points to an away win in the North Macedonia. 1st League. Vardar Skopje enters this match as the clear favorite with a 62% win probability, while Skopje has just a 15% chance to win at home. The match kicks off at 10:00 local time.

Team Form

Skopje is struggling badly this season. Their last five results are L, L, L, D, D. They have not won any of their last five matches, and in their most recent outings they lost 1-0 to Bregalnica Stip and 1-0 to KF Shkendija Haracine. At home, they drew 1-1 with Tikves and lost 2-1 to KF Bashkimi 1947 Kumanovo. Scoring has been a big problem - Skopje has only 3 goals in 8 league games.

Vardar Skopje is in much better shape. Their last five results are W, D, W, W, D. They beat KF Shkendija Haracine 2-0 at home and FK Arsimi 1973 2-0 at home. Away from home, they drew 3-3 with KF Bashkimi 1947 Kumanovo and 1-1 with Tikves. Vardar Skopje has 14 goals in 8 league matches, showing a strong attack.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings between Skopje and Vardar Skopje, the head-to-head record is balanced: 2 wins for Skopje, 4 draws, and 2 wins for Vardar Skopje. However, recent history favors Vardar Skopje. The most recent league clash on May 21, 2023, ended in a 3-0 win for Vardar Skopje. A friendly in February 2023 also went Vardar Skopje's way, 3-1. Skopje's last win came back in May 2018, a 1-0 away victory.

League Table Positions

The standings tell a clear story. Vardar Skopje sits 3rd in the North Macedonia. 1st League with 14 points from 8 games (4 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Skopje is bottom of the table, 10th with only 3 points, still without a win (0 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses). The gap is 11 points. Skopje's home form is poor - they are not even in the top 8 home teams. Vardar Skopje's away record is mid-table, with 2 points from 3 away games.

Win Probability: Skopje or Vardar Skopje?

Based on the odds, form, and league positions, here is the win probability for this match. Vardar Skopje has a 62% chance to win. The draw is at 23%, and Skopje has a 15% chance to win. The bookmakers' odds heavily favor Vardar Skopje, with best odds around 1.40 for an away win. Skopje's terrible form - zero wins all season - and Vardar Skopje's strong 3rd place position make the away side the most likely winner. The head-to-head also supports this, with Vardar Skopje winning the last two meetings by multiple goals.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match show Vardar Skopje at 1.40, the draw at 4.10, and a Skopje win at 7.50. These betting tips reflect the huge gulf between the teams. Vardar Skopje is the clear favorite. Based on the stats, the Skopje vs Vardar Skopje prediction is an away win. Skopje has scored only 3 goals all season and faces a Vardar Skopje side that has won 4 of their last 5. Everything points to three points for the visitors.