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Vasco da Gama RJ - Independiente Santa Fe prediction 15/09/2026

Match info

Competição
Copa Sudamericana · South America
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Vasco da Gama RJ

Vasco da Gama RJBoca Juniors13DCopa Sudamericana

Sao Paulo SPVasco da Gama RJ10DSerie A

Boca JuniorsVasco da Gama RJ01VCopa Sudamericana

Vasco da Gama RJRemo PA00ESerie A

Botafogo RJVasco da Gama RJ12VSerie A
Independiente Santa Fe

Independiente Santa FeJaguares de Cordoba21VPrimera A

Llaneros FCIndependiente Santa Fe10DPrimera A

Independiente Santa FeFortaleza Zipaquira22ECup

EDP Independiente MedellinIndependiente Santa Fe01VPrimera A

Deportivo PereiraIndependiente Santa Fe12VPrimera A

Confronto direto

2 confrontos
Vasco da Gama RJ 1Empates 10 Independiente Santa Fe

Vasco da Gama RJIndependiente Santa Fe20Copa Sudamericana

Independiente Santa FeVasco da Gama RJ00Copa Sudamericana

Copa Sudamericana 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Botafogo RJ651015:516
2River Plate64209:314
3Montevideo City Torque641111:513
4Olimpia641110:613
5Sao Paulo SP63306:112
6Gremio RS63218:311
7Atletico Mineiro MG63128:610
8Macara62406:310
9Red Bull Bragantino SP631212:510
10Vasco DA Gama631210:610
11O'Higgins63128:610
12Tigre62318:59
13Caracas FC62319:99
14Carabobo FC63036:59
15America de Cali62316:59
16Deportivo Recoleta61506:58
17Cienciano62225:78
18Club Deportivo Los Millonarios62227:78
19Racing Club Avellaneda622211:98
20Santos61418:67
21Juventud de Las Piedras614110:77
22San Lorenzo de Almagro61416:57
23Audax Italiano62137:97
24Academia Puerto Cabello62136:97
25Deportivo Cuenca61323:76
26Deportivo Riestra61234:105
27Palestino60331:63
28Barracas Central60332:83
29Boston River61055:123
30Alianza Atletico60242:92
31Blooming60153:171
32Independiente60063:150

Our Vasco da Gama RJ vs Independiente Santa Fe prediction for this Copa Sudamericana match on Sep 15, 2026, at 22:00 points to a home win. Based on the stats, Vasco da Gama RJ has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Independiente Santa Fe has an 18% chance. The bookmakers' odds also see the home side as the clear favorite.

Team Form

Vasco da Gama RJ comes into this match with strong recent results. Their last five games show three wins, one draw, and one loss (W, W, W, L, D). The most recent was a 0-0 draw away at Independiente Santa Fe in this same competition on Sep 08. Before that, they beat Vitoria BA 2-0 away in the Cup and Cruzeiro MG 3-1 at home in Serie A. The only recent defeat was a 1-0 loss at Fluminense RJ.

Independiente Santa Fe's form is built on draws. Their last five matches ended with one win and four draws (D, D, D, D, W). They drew 0-0 at home against Vasco da Gama RJ, 2-2 at home against Fortaleza Zipaquira, 1-1 away at CD Junior FC, and 1-1 away at River Plate. The lone win was a 3-2 home victory over Club Deportivo Los Millonarios. They are tough to beat but struggle to turn draws into wins.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is very short. They have met only once, just a week ago on Sep 08, 2026, in the Copa Sudamericana. That match, played at Independiente Santa Fe's ground, ended in a 0-0 draw. With zero wins for either side and one draw, there is no historical edge for either team. This makes the current form and home advantage even more important for our Vasco da Gama RJ vs Independiente Santa Fe betting tips.

League Table Positions

Looking at the overall Copa Sudamericana standings, Vasco da Gama RJ sits in 10th place with 10 points from 6 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). They have scored 10 goals and conceded 6. Independiente Santa Fe is not listed in the top 12 of the provided overall, home, or away standings, which suggests they are further down the table. This gives Vasco da Gama RJ a clear advantage in terms of competition performance and points collected so far.

Win Probability: Vasco da Gama RJ or Independiente Santa Fe?

Who will win this match? We calculated the win probability using the available odds, recent form, and the head-to-head record. The average home win odds across bookmakers are around 1.92, the draw is around 2.60, and the away win is around 6.58. After removing the bookmaker margin and adjusting for Vasco da Gama RJ's stronger form (three wins in five) and Independiente Santa Fe's many draws (four in five), the true chances are: Vasco da Gama RJ win – 52%, draw – 30%, Independiente Santa Fe win – 18%. The home team is the more likely winner, but the draw is a real possibility given the 0-0 result last week.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this match show Vasco da Gama RJ as the favorite. The best home win odds are as low as 1.56, while the highest are 2.12. The draw odds range from 2.08 to 3.95. An away win for Independiente Santa Fe pays between 5.90 and 8.00. These odds confirm what the form and standings suggest: bookmakers see Vasco da Gama RJ as the team with the best chance. Our final Vasco da Gama RJ vs Independiente Santa Fe prediction is a home win, but with a note of caution. Independiente Santa Fe is a draw specialist, so a low-scoring match and a possible draw are also on the cards. Based on the stats, betting on Vasco da Gama RJ to win gives you the best value.

Vasco da Gama RJ vs Independiente Santa Fe – FAQ

Who will win Vasco da Gama RJ vs Independiente Santa Fe?
Based on our win probability calculation, Vasco da Gama RJ has a 52% chance to win, a draw has a 30% chance, and Independiente Santa Fe has an 18% chance. Vasco da Gama RJ is the favorite thanks to better recent form and home advantage.
What is the win probability for Vasco da Gama RJ?
Vasco da Gama RJ has a 52% chance of winning this match. This is based on bookmaker odds, their three wins in the last five games, and the fact that Independiente Santa Fe has drawn four of their last five matches.
When is the Vasco da Gama RJ vs Independiente Santa Fe match?
The match is on Sep 15, 2026, at 22:00. It is a Copa Sudamericana fixture in South America.
What are the odds for Vasco da Gama RJ vs Independiente Santa Fe?
The odds vary by bookmaker. Home win odds for Vasco da Gama RJ range from 1.56 to 2.12. The draw is priced between 2.08 and 3.95, and an away win for Independiente Santa Fe is between 5.90 and 8.00.