Villa San Carlos Reserves - CA Excursionistas Reserves prediction 10/09/2026

The Villa San Carlos Reserves vs CA Excursionistas Reserves prediction for September 10, 2026 looks at a Primera B Metropolitana Reserve match in Argentina. The game kicks off at 13:00, and based on the form and odds, CA Excursionistas Reserves comes in as the slight favorite with a 48% win probability. Villa San Carlos Reserves has a 28% chance, and the draw sits at 24%.

Team Form

Villa San Carlos Reserves has struggled in recent matches. Their last five results are L, D, D, L, D. They lost 3-1 away to Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves on Sep 02, and before that had three straight home draws against Deportivo Laferrere Reserves (0-0), Sportivo Italiano Reserves (1-1), and Deportivo Laferrere Reserves again (0-0). A 1-0 home loss to Argentino de Merlo Reserves on Aug 20 rounds out a run with no wins.

CA Excursionistas Reserves shows much better form with W, L, W, D, W. They won 3-2 at home against CSD Liniers Reserves on Sep 01, lost 3-1 away to Real Pilar Reserves, beat UAI Urquiza Reserves 2-1 at home, drew 1-1 away at Villa Dalmine Reserves, and won 1-0 away at Ituzaingo Reserves. Three wins in five games gives them a clear edge.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Villa San Carlos Reserves and CA Excursionistas Reserves. The record shows 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins. This will be the first meeting, so form and odds are the main guides for this prediction.

League Table Positions

League table data is not available in the current stats, but the recent form suggests CA Excursionistas Reserves is in a better position. Villa San Carlos Reserves has not won in five matches, while the away side has picked up three wins in the same span. That gap in form points to a higher standing for CA Excursionistas Reserves in the Primera B Metropolitana Reserve.

Win Probability: Villa San Carlos Reserves or CA Excursionistas Reserves?

Who will win this match? The win probability calculation uses the available odds and recent form. The bookmaker odds show a tight contest: one bookmaker has home at 3.20, draw at 2.10, away at 3.10, and another has home at 3.00, draw at 2.15, away at 3.10. Taking the inverse of the best odds and normalizing to remove the margin gives a base. Then we adjust for form - CA Excursionistas Reserves has three wins in five, Villa San Carlos Reserves has zero wins in five. The final numbers: CA Excursionistas Reserves has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Villa San Carlos Reserves has a 28% chance. The away side is the more likely winner, but the match is far from a sure thing.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this Primera B Metropolitana Reserve match are tight. You can find Villa San Carlos Reserves to win at 3.20, the draw at 2.10, and CA Excursionistas Reserves to win at 3.10. The draw is priced as the most likely single outcome by the bookmakers, but the away win odds are close behind. Based on the stats and form, our Villa San Carlos Reserves vs CA Excursionistas Reserves prediction leans toward an away win or draw. CA Excursionistas Reserves has the better chance to take all three points, but a low-scoring draw is also a real possibility given Villa San Carlos Reserves' recent run of stalemates at home.