Vilnius Zalgiris B - Neptunas Klaipeda prediction 07/09/2026

The Vilnius Zalgiris B vs Neptunas Klaipeda prediction is here for the 1 Lyga match on Sep 07 at 17:00. Based on the stats, Neptunas Klaipeda enters this game as the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while Vilnius Zalgiris B has a 40% chance and the draw sits at 18%.

Team Form

Vilnius Zalgiris B comes into this match in strong shape. Their last five results are four wins and one draw. In their most recent outing, they beat Dainava Alytus 1-0 away on Aug 28. Before that, they won a high-scoring home game 4-3 against FK Transinvest B on Aug 25. The team has scored 10 goals in these five matches, showing good attacking form.

Neptunas Klaipeda has three wins and two losses in their last five matches. They won their last game 3-1 at home against Atmosfera Mazeikiai on Aug 29. However, they suffered a heavy 0-4 home loss to FK Babrungas Plunge on Aug 15. Their away form is decent, with two wins in the last three road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Neptunas Klaipeda. In their last 9 meetings, Neptunas Klaipeda has 6 wins, Vilnius Zalgiris B has 1 win, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent clash was on May 02, 2026, when Neptunas Klaipeda won 2-1 at home. The last time Vilnius Zalgiris B hosted this fixture, on Aug 03, 2025, the match ended in a 3-3 draw. Vilnius Zalgiris B's only win in this series came back in 2023.

League Table Positions

In the 1 Lyga standings, Neptunas Klaipeda is 4th with 41 points from 22 matches, while Vilnius Zalgiris B is 8th with 37 points from 22 games. The 4-point gap is not huge. At home, Vilnius Zalgiris B is strong, ranked 7th with 23 points from 11 home games. Neptunas Klaipeda's away record is also solid, ranked 4th with 20 points from 11 away trips. Both teams have similar home and away goal differences, which points to a tight contest.

Win Probability: Vilnius Zalgiris B or Neptunas Klaipeda?

Who will win this match? We calculate the win probability based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions. The bookmakers' average odds imply a close game. After normalizing the odds to remove the margin, the base probabilities are around 36% for a home win, 40% for a draw, and 35% for an away win. We adjust these numbers with the form and H2H data. Vilnius Zalgiris B's excellent recent form and home advantage boost their chances, but Neptunas Klaipeda's dominant head-to-head record and higher league position cannot be ignored. Our final win probability is: Vilnius Zalgiris B 40%, draw 18%, Neptunas Klaipeda 42%. Neptunas Klaipeda is slightly more likely to win, but this match outcome is very open.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this 1 Lyga match show a tight market. The best home win odds are around 2.75, the draw is at 2.30, and an away win is priced at 2.88. Some bookmakers have the home win as low as 2.50 and the away win at 2.65. These odds reflect how close this game is. Our Vilnius Zalgiris B vs Neptunas Klaipeda prediction is a narrow away win, but the draw is a real possibility. Based on the stats, the betting tips point to a low-scoring game, as both teams have solid defensive records in recent matches. The total goals market could be worth a look, with under 2.5 goals a likely scenario.