Widzew Lodz II - Warta Sieradz prediction 21/10/2026

Our Widzew Lodz II vs Warta Sieradz prediction for the III Liga match on October 21, 2026, points to a draw as the most likely outcome, with a 39% probability. Widzew Lodz II has a 31% chance to win, while Warta Sieradz sits at 30%.

Team Form

Widzew Lodz II comes into this match without a win in their last five games (0W, 2D, 3L). They drew 1-1 with Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki and Pelikan Lowicz, but lost to Weszlo (0-2), Wigry Suwalki (3-6), and Polonia Bytom (1-2) in the cup. The team has struggled defensively, conceding 10 goals in those five matches.

Warta Sieradz, on the other hand, has picked up two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five. They beat Wisla Plock II (2-1) and Polonia Lidzbark Warminski (2-1), drew with Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (1-1) and Olimpia Zambrow (2-2), and lost only to Wigry Suwalki (1-3). Their form is clearly better heading into this fixture.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice in recent III Liga history, and both matches ended with the away side winning. Warta Sieradz won 3-1 at Widzew Lodz II in August 2025, while Widzew Lodz II returned the favor with a 2-1 victory at Warta Sieradz in March 2026. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced at one win each, with no draws.

League Table Positions

In the III Liga standings, Warta Sieradz sits 9th with 18 points from 12 matches (5W, 3D, 4L), while Widzew Lodz II is 12th with 15 points (4W, 3D, 5L). The goal difference is similar: Warta Sieradz has scored 21 and conceded 20, Widzew Lodz II has 22 goals for and 21 against. The three-point gap reflects Warta Sieradz's slightly better consistency. Neither side features in the top eight of the home or away standings, underlining their mid-table positions.

Win Probability: Widzew Lodz II or Warta Sieradz?

Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Widzew Lodz II 31%, draw 39%, Warta Sieradz 30%. The bookmakers' odds heavily favor the draw, with the lowest odds at 2.28. Widzew Lodz II's poor form and lower table position reduce their home advantage, while Warta Sieradz's better recent results give them a slight edge. However, the most probable outcome remains a draw.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are: Widzew Lodz II win at 2.88, draw at 2.28, and Warta Sieradz win at 2.92. Other bookmakers offer similar lines, with the draw odds ranging from 2.28 to 2.50. These odds confirm that the bookmakers see a draw as the most likely result. Our Widzew Lodz II vs Warta Sieradz prediction aligns with this: a draw is the safest bet. For those looking for betting tips, backing the draw or a low-scoring affair could be worth considering, given both teams' recent defensive records.