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Welling United - Burgess Hill Town prediction 17/10/2026

Match info

Competição
Isthmian League. Premier Division · England
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Welling United

Welling UnitedBurgess Hill Town42VIsthmian League. Premier Division

Eastbourne BoroughWelling United10DIsthmian League. Premier Division

Maldon & TiptreeWelling United01VIsthmian League. Premier Division

Welling UnitedWhyteleafe10VIsthmian League. Premier Division

Welling UnitedChertsey Town22EFA Trophy
Burgess Hill Town

WhyteleafeBurgess Hill Town23VIsthmian League. Premier Division

Welling UnitedBurgess Hill Town42DIsthmian League. Premier Division

Burgess Hill TownDulwich Hamlet20VIsthmian League. Premier Division

Burgess Hill TownAveley11EIsthmian League. Premier Division

Burgess Hill TownMaldon & Tiptree41VIsthmian League. Premier Division

Confronto direto

3 confrontos
Welling United 1Empates 02 Burgess Hill Town

Welling UnitedBurgess Hill Town42Isthmian League. Premier Division

Burgess Hill TownWelling United21Isthmian League. Premier Division

Welling UnitedBurgess Hill Town12Isthmian League. Premier Division

Isthmian League. Premier Division 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Enfield Town1291233:1628
2Welling United1290324:1227
3Lewes1382320:1426
4Dartford1380519:1724
5Ramsgate1371529:1722
6Eastbourne Borough1171321:1122
7Carshalton Athletic1571723:2822
8Chatham Town1270526:1421
9Burgess Hill Town1255223:1720
10Wingate & Finchley1262424:2320
11St Albans952218:1317
12Dulwich Hamlet1252520:2017
13Leatherhead1143418:2015
14Whyteleafe1443722:2515
15Cheshunt1236312:1515
16Aveley1342720:2114
17Maldon & Tiptree1441918:3513
18Cray Wanderers933319:1412
19Brentwood Town1140718:1912
20Three Bridges1323823:369
21Whitehawk1313912:326
22Stanway Rovers1211109:324

The Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town prediction for October 17, 2026, points to a tight Isthmian League. Premier Division contest. Based on the stats, Welling United enters as the favorite with a 52% win probability, while Burgess Hill Town has a 23% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Welling United's recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. They beat Whyteleafe 1-0 and Cheshunt 2-0 at home, and won 1-0 away at Maldon & Tiptree. A 2-2 draw with Chertsey Town in the FA Trophy and a 1-0 loss at Eastbourne Borough complete the picture. At home, Welling United have been perfect in the league with six wins from six, scoring 14 and conceding just one goal.

Burgess Hill Town come into this match with two wins and three draws in their last five. They defeated Dulwich Hamlet 2-0 and Maldon & Tiptree 4-1 at home, while drawing 1-1 with Aveley, 0-0 with Dulwich Hamlet, and 2-2 with Ramsgate. Away from home, their league record shows no wins from the available data, but they remain hard to beat.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record favors Burgess Hill Town, who have won both previous meetings. On March 7, 2026, Burgess Hill Town won 2-1 at home. Earlier, on November 8, 2025, they beat Welling United 2-1 away. Welling United have yet to record a win or a draw in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Welling United sit 3rd in the Isthmian League. Premier Division with 24 points from 11 matches (8 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). They have scored 20 goals and conceded 10. Burgess Hill Town are 9th with 17 points from 10 games (4 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss), scoring 18 and conceding 11. At home, Welling United top the table with a perfect 18 points from 6 matches. Burgess Hill Town are 4th in the home standings, but their away form is not listed in the top eight, which suggests a clear home advantage in this matchup.

Win Probability: Welling United or Burgess Hill Town?

After analyzing the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: Welling United 52%, draw 25%, Burgess Hill Town 23%. The odds imply a tighter game, but Welling United's perfect home record (6 wins, 14 goals scored, 1 conceded) is the strongest single factor. Burgess Hill Town's two H2H wins and their own unbeaten home record add weight to their chances, but their unproven away form lowers their win probability. The draw is a real possibility given Burgess Hill Town's five draws in ten league games.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a competitive match. The available odds show a home win priced around 2.00 to 2.02, a draw at 3.55 to 3.60, and an away win at 2.90 to 3.00. These betting tips are based purely on the stats: Welling United's home strength is the key reason they are the favorite. Our Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town prediction is a home win, but the value may lie in the draw given the visitors' resilience and the head-to-head history.

Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town – FAQ

Who will win Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town?
Based on our analysis, Welling United has a 52% chance to win, the draw is at 25%, and Burgess Hill Town has a 23% chance. Welling United's perfect home league record makes them the likely winner.
What is the win probability for Welling United?
Welling United has a 52% win probability. This is driven by their 6-0-0 home record in the Isthmian League. Premier Division, where they have scored 14 goals and conceded only 1.
When is the Welling United vs Burgess Hill Town match?
The match is on October 17, 2026, at 11:00 AM local time. It is part of the Isthmian League. Premier Division in England.
What are the odds for the match?
The pre-match odds show a home win for Welling United at 2.00 to 2.02, a draw at 3.55 to 3.60, and an away win for Burgess Hill Town at 2.90 to 3.00.