Werder Bremen - SC Paderborn 07 prediction 17/10/2026

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction: this Bundesliga match is set for Oct 17, 2026, at 10:30 local time. Werder Bremen is the favorite with a 50% chance to win, the draw has a 30% chance and SC Paderborn 07 has a 20% chance. The answer to who will win is Werder Bremen, based on the bookmaker odds, home form and the head-to-head record.

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction: Team Form

Werder Bremen has two wins, two draws and one loss in the last five matches. They drew 2-2 with Borussia Dortmund, lost 7-0 to Twente in a friendly, beat Augsburg 3-2, drew 1-1 with FC Koln and beat RB Leipzig 3-1. The home team has scored 10 goals and conceded 10 goals in the Bundesliga this season. The 7-0 loss to Twente is the biggest recent concern for Werder Bremen, but the league results show more consistency.

SC Paderborn 07 has two wins, two losses and one draw in the last five matches. They beat D.C. United 1-0 in a friendly, beat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3-1, lost 3-0 to Borussia Dortmund, lost 1-0 to SC Freiburg and drew 0-0 with Mainz 05. SC Paderborn 07 is not very consistent and the recent away form has mixed results.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Werder Bremen and SC Paderborn 07 is 3 wins for Werder Bremen, 2 draws and 2 wins for SC Paderborn 07. The latest meeting on Aug 8, 2026, ended Werder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07 in a Friendly Clubs match.

• Aug 8, 2026: Werder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07
• Oct 30, 2024: SC Paderborn 07 0-1 Werder Bremen
• Oct 19, 2022: SC Paderborn 07 2-2 Werder Bremen
• Jan 22, 2022: SC Paderborn 07 3-4 Werder Bremen
• Aug 15, 2021: Werder Bremen 1-4 SC Paderborn 07

League Table Positions

Werder Bremen sits 7th in the Bundesliga table with 8 points from 5 matches. The team has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 10 goals scored and 10 goals conceded. In the home table, Werder Bremen is 6th with 6 points from two home wins and six goals scored. SC Paderborn 07 does not appear in the top 12 standings shown in the data.

Win Probability: Werder Bremen or SC Paderborn 07?

The win probability for this match is Werder Bremen 50%, draw 30% and SC Paderborn 07 20%. These numbers come from the bookmaker odds and are adjusted for form and the home advantage.

The latest odds are 1.67 for a Werder Bremen win, 2.50 for the draw and 4.00 for SC Paderborn 07. When you remove the bookmaker margin from these odds, Werder Bremen is close to 48%. The home table record and the H2H edge push the home win probability to 50%. The home factor matters because Werder Bremen won both home league matches this season.

The conclusion is simple: Werder Bremen has the best chance to win. The draw is also a strong possibility with 30%, so both teams can take points.

Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction: Odds & Match Prediction

Across the listed bookmakers, Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 odds move between 1.67 and 1.86 for a home win. The draw is between 2.40 and 4.00, and an away win is between 3.70 and 4.10. The market sees Werder Bremen as the clear favorite in this Bundesliga match.

Based on the stats, the best prediction is a home win for Werder Bremen. A draw also looks possible because both teams have drawn matches in their recent form. For betting tips, the home win is the main pick, while the draw can be a value option if you want higher odds. This Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction is based on the stats, the odds and the recent form of both teams.