Willem II - Cambuur Leeuwarden prediction 24/10/2026

This Willem II vs Cambuur Leeuwarden prediction answers who will win the Eredivisie match on Oct 24, 2026 at 13:45 at Koning Willem II Stadion in Tilburg. The stats point to a close game, but Cambuur Leeuwarden have the edge with a 37% win probability, while the draw is at 34% and Willem II at 29%.

Team Form

Willem II are in poor shape. Their last five matches ended with four losses and one draw. They lost 3-2 to Sparta Rotterdam, 3-1 to Utrecht, 0-1 at home to Fortuna Sittard, and 5-1 to Ajax, then drew 1-1 with AZ Alkmaar. That run includes only one home match, a 0-1 defeat to Fortuna Sittard at Koning Willem II Stadion.

Cambuur Leeuwarden have shown better form. Their last five results are a win, a draw, a win, a draw, and a loss. They beat Zwolle 1-0 away and NEC Nijmegen 3-0 at home, drew 1-1 with ADO Den Haag and 2-2 with Telstar, and lost 1-4 to Twente. Away from home, Cambuur Leeuwarden have one win and two draws in their last three.

Willem II vs Cambuur Leeuwarden Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record gives Cambuur Leeuwarden a clear edge. In the recent meetings, Willem II have 0 wins, there are 3 draws, and Cambuur Leeuwarden have 3 wins.

• Dec 12, 2025: Willem II 0-1 Cambuur Leeuwarden
• Sep 6, 2025: Cambuur Leeuwarden 2-2 Willem II
• Feb 2, 2024: Willem II 1-1 Cambuur Leeuwarden
• Sep 17, 2023: Cambuur Leeuwarden 1-0 Willem II
• May 11, 2022: Cambuur Leeuwarden 1-1 Willem II

The most recent match was on Dec 12, 2025, when Cambuur Leeuwarden won 0-1 at Willem II.

League Table Positions

In the Eredivisie standings data provided, Feyenoord lead with 23 points after 9 matches. AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven are tied on 19 points, with Twente on 17. The available top 12 standings do not include Willem II or Cambuur Leeuwarden, so their exact positions and point gaps are not listed in this data.

Win Probability: Willem II vs Cambuur Leeuwarden?

The win probability for this match is Willem II 29%, draw 34%, and Cambuur Leeuwarden 37%. These percentages total 100%.

The odds remove the bookmaker margin and give a narrow base, but the form and head-to-head stats shift the balance toward Cambuur Leeuwarden. Willem II have lost four of their last five and have not won any of the recent head-to-head matches. Cambuur Leeuwarden have three wins and three draws in the head-to-head record and have been more consistent away, with one win and two draws in their last three away games.

So the answer to who will win is not a sure thing, but Cambuur Leeuwarden are the more likely winner with 37%. The draw is also a strong possibility at 34%, and Willem II have a 29% chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for the Willem II vs Cambuur Leeuwarden match differ among bookmakers. One bookmaker lists Willem II at 2.52, the draw at 2.38, and Cambuur Leeuwarden at 2.72. Another lists Willem II at 2.25, the draw at 2.50, and Cambuur Leeuwarden at 2.80. Across all six listed odds, Willem II range from 2.25 to 2.52, the draw from 2.38 to 3.95, and Cambuur Leeuwarden from 2.62 to 2.90.

Based on the stats, the final prediction for this match is a tight contest. Bookmakers see Willem II as a slight favorite in some odds, but the form and head-to-head point to Cambuur Leeuwarden or a draw. These betting tips point to a double chance X2 - Cambuur Leeuwarden or draw - as a safer option than a straight home win.