Rakow Czestochowa - Zaglebie Lubin prediction 15/09/2026

The Rakow Czestochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin prediction for the Ekstraklasa match on Sep 15 at 16:00 is here. Based on the odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, Rakow Czestochowa is the favorite with a 48% win probability. The match takes place at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski "Rakow" in Częstochowa.

Team Form

Rakow Czestochowa's last five results are W, L, L, L, D. They beat Motor Lublin 2-1 at home on Sep 11 but lost to Lech Poznan, Gornik Zabrze, and Jagiellonia Bialystok in the league. A 2-2 draw with Hajduk Split in the UEFA Conference League Qualification completes the run. The home side has struggled for consistency, with three losses in their last four Ekstraklasa outings.

Zaglebie Lubin's last five results are W, D, L, D, D. They won 2-1 at home against GKS Katowice on Sep 12. Before that, they drew with Wieczysta Krakow and Pogon Szczecin, and lost to Siarka Tarnobrzeg in the Cup. The away team is harder to beat lately, with only one loss in their last five matches across all competitions.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Rakow Czestochowa and Zaglebie Lubin shows 2 home wins, 3 draws, and 1 away win in the last six meetings. The most recent match on Aug 09 ended 0-0. Before that, a 0-0 draw on Feb 14 and a 1-0 away win for Zaglebie Lubin on Dec 14, 2025. Rakow Czestochowa's last win in this fixture was a 5-0 home victory on Nov 05, 2023. The H2H record points to tight, low-scoring games recently.

League Table Positions

In the Ekstraklasa overall standings, Zaglebie Lubin sits 7th with 12 points from 7 matches (3 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). Rakow Czestochowa is not in the top 12 of the provided table, which suggests a lower position. Zaglebie Lubin's away record is not listed in the top 8, while Rakow Czestochowa's home record is also absent from the top 8. The table data indicates Zaglebie Lubin has a better points total and a stronger start to the season.

Win Probability: Rakow Czestochowa or Zaglebie Lubin?

Based on the odds, form, and H2H record, the win probability for this match is: Rakow Czestochowa 48%, draw 30%, Zaglebie Lubin 22%. The bookmakers' average odds (home around 2.05, draw 2.28, away 3.99) imply a home advantage, but the draw odds are short, reflecting the three draws in the last four H2H meetings. Rakow Czestochowa's poor recent league form lowers their chances, while Zaglebie Lubin's solid run increases the draw and away win probabilities. The home team is still the more likely winner, but the draw is a strong possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds from bookmakers show Rakow Czestochowa as the favorite, with best odds around 2.18 for a home win. The draw is priced around 2.25, and an away win for Zaglebie Lubin is at 3.95. The odds suggest a close match. Our Rakow Czestochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin prediction: based on the stats, a low-scoring draw is a real chance, but Rakow Czestochowa's home advantage gives them a slight edge. A 1-0 home win is a possible outcome.