Zwolle - Cambuur Leeuwarden prediction 11/10/2026

Our Zwolle vs Cambuur Leeuwarden prediction looks at the Eredivisie match on October 11, 2026, at 09:30. Zwolle is the favorite with a 48% win probability, while Cambuur Leeuwarden has a 27% chance and a draw sits at 25%. This betting tip is based on recent form, head-to-head stats and bookmaker odds.

Team Form

Zwolle comes into this game with poor recent results. In their last five matches they have one win, one draw and three losses. The 0-7 home defeat against Feyenoord and a 3-0 loss at Groningen show clear defensive problems. The only bright spot was a 2-0 away win at Heerenveen.

Cambuur Leeuwarden has been slightly more stable, with one win, two draws and two losses in the last five. They beat NEC Nijmegen 3-0 at home but also conceded four against Twente and five against Feyenoord. Away from home they drew 1-1 at ADO Den Haag and 2-2 at Telstar, so they can pick up points on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record favors Zwolle. In six previous meetings, Zwolle has four wins, Cambuur Leeuwarden has two, and there are no draws. The last official Eredivisie clash was in February 2022, when Zwolle won 4-3 away. The most recent friendly in July 2022 also ended 3-1 for Zwolle. However, Cambuur won the Eredivisie home game in November 2021 by 2-1, so they know how to beat this opponent.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the Eredivisie standings, which means both are fighting in the lower half of the table. Exact positions and points are not available, but the lack of top-half presence reflects a difficult season for both sides. Home advantage could be a key factor for Zwolle at MAC³PARK stadion.

Win Probability: Zwolle or Cambuur Leeuwarden?

Based on the odds, form and H2H, we calculate the win probability for this match. Zwolle has a 48% chance to win, the draw is at 25%, and Cambuur Leeuwarden has a 27% chance. The odds imply a home win probability of around 45%, but we adjusted it slightly upward because Zwolle leads the head-to-head 4-2 and plays at home. The poor recent form of both teams keeps the draw and away win probabilities relatively high.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Zwolle as the favorite. The 1X2 odds are around 2.20 for a home win, 3.80 for the draw and 3.50 for an away win. These numbers reflect the home team's historical edge and the venue factor. Our Zwolle vs Cambuur Leeuwarden prediction is a home win, but with caution. Both defenses have been leaking goals, so a bet on over 2.5 goals could also be worth considering. The final betting tip: Zwolle to win, but a draw is a real possibility given the current form.