Belgium U21 - Belarus U21 prediction 24/09/2026

Our Belgium U21 vs Belarus U21 prediction for the Euro Championship U21 Qualification match on Sep 24, 2026 points to a clear home favorite. Belgium U21 has a 72% win probability, the draw sits at 18%, and Belarus U21 has a 10% chance. The match kicks off at 15:00.

Team Form

Belgium U21 comes into this match with a solid recent run. In their last five outings they have three wins and two losses. They beat Austria U21 1-0 at home and crushed Wales U21 7-0 away in October 2025. A 2-0 home win over Denmark U21 also stands out. The two defeats came against Netherlands U21 (2-1) and Austria U21 (1-0), both away from home. At home, Belgium U21 looks strong with back-to-back clean-sheet wins in the qualification.

Belarus U21 has struggled for consistency. Their last five matches show two wins and three losses. The wins came in friendlies against Kazakhstan U21, 2-1 and 2-0 at home in June 2026. In competitive matches, they lost to Austria U21 (2-1), Wales U21 (2-0), and Denmark U21 (1-0). The away form is a real concern, with three straight defeats on the road in the Euro Championship U21 Qualification.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is limited to one previous meeting. On Sep 4, 2025, Belarus U21 hosted Belgium U21 in the same competition and the match ended in a 1-1 draw. That result gives Belarus U21 a small psychological boost, but the game was played at their home ground. Now the venue switches to Belgium, where the home side will expect to control the game.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall standings provided, which suggests both are in the middle or lower part of their qualification group. The available table data shows Poland U21, Spain U21, and Italy U21 leading the way. Belgium U21 and Belarus U21 are not among the front-runners, but Belgium's recent home wins indicate they are more competitive at this level. Belarus U21 has found goals hard to come by away from home, which is reflected in their position.

Win Probability: Belgium U21 or Belarus U21?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and the home advantage, Belgium U21 has a 72% chance to win this match. The draw probability is 18%, and Belarus U21 has a 10% chance of an away victory. The bookmakers' odds heavily favor Belgium U21, with the best home win price at 1.13. We adjusted the implied probabilities from the odds using the recent form and the 1-1 H2H draw to reach these numbers. The home team's strong attacking displays at home, including the 7-0 win over Wales U21, make them the clear favorite. Belarus U21's away losses in qualification further support a home win prediction.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this Belgium U21 vs Belarus U21 match show a big gap between the teams. One bookmaker offers a home win at 1.13, a draw at 2.19, and an away win at 2.14. Another lists the home win at 1.18, the draw at 2.62, and the away win at 9.00. A third has the home win at 1.18, the draw at 2.68, and the away win at 11.50. The wide range on the away win shows some uncertainty, but all bookmakers see Belgium U21 as the strong favorite. Our Belgium U21 vs Belarus U21 prediction is a home win, with under 3.5 total goals a likely outcome based on the stats.