JK Narva Trans - Kuressaare prediction 14/10/2026

Looking for a JK Narva Trans vs Kuressaare prediction? This Meistriliiga match kicks off on Oct 14, 2026 at 10:00. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and team form, Kuressaare enters as the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while JK Narva Trans has a 31% chance and the draw sits at 27%.

Team Form

JK Narva Trans comes into this match with a shaky run: two draws, two losses, and one draw in their last five outings (D, D, L, D, L). Their most recent result was a 2-2 draw away at Parnu JK Vaprus on Oct 10. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home with Levadia Tallinn and lost 2-0 at JK Nomme Kalju. They have struggled to turn close games into wins.

Kuressaare's recent form is a bit more mixed but includes two wins in the last five (W, D, L, L, W). They beat Flora Tallinn 2-0 at home on Oct 11, drew 0-0 at Harju JK Laagri, and lost 3-1 at home to Tammeka Tartu. The win over Flora Tallinn shows they can compete with top-half sides.

Head-to-Head Record

In the overall head-to-head, JK Narva Trans leads with 21 wins to Kuressaare's 12, alongside 10 draws. However, recent meetings tell a different story. The last five matches show Kuressaare with two wins, two draws, and one loss. The most recent clash was on Sep 5, 2026, when Kuressaare won 3-1 at home. Earlier in the 2026 Meistriliiga season, they drew 0-0 in June and Kuressaare won 2-1 away in April. JK Narva Trans has not beaten Kuressaare in the last four encounters.

League Table Positions

This is a battle between the bottom two in Meistriliiga. Kuressaare sits 8th with 32 points from 30 matches (9 wins, 5 draws, 16 losses). JK Narva Trans is 10th with 20 points (5 wins, 5 draws, 20 losses). The gap is 12 points. At home, Kuressaare has been decent, ranking 7th with 21 points from 15 home games. JK Narva Trans has the worst away record in the league - only 11 points from 15 away matches, placing them 8th in the away standings. The table clearly favors Kuressaare.

Win Probability: JK Narva Trans or Kuressaare?

After analyzing the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league table, we calculate the win probability as follows: Kuressaare has a 42% chance to win, the draw is at 27%, and JK Narva Trans has a 31% chance. The odds imply a tighter contest, but Kuressaare's superior league position, better recent H2H results, and JK Narva Trans's poor away form tip the balance. Kuressaare is the more likely winner, but this is far from a sure thing - both teams have struggled for consistency all season.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a close match. The 1X2 odds show JK Narva Trans as the nominal favorite at home with odds around 2.05 to 2.22, the draw at 2.08 to 3.27, and a Kuressaare away win at 3.04 to 3.50. The market has been drifting slightly toward the away side in some books. Based on the stats, Kuressaare offers value as the away pick. Our JK Narva Trans vs Kuressaare prediction: a low-scoring game with Kuressaare likely to avoid defeat. The double chance X2 (draw or Kuressaare win) looks like a solid betting tip for this Meistriliiga clash.