Levadia Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri prediction 24/10/2026

On October 24, 2026, Levadia Tallinn faces Harju JK Laagri in a Meistriliiga match at A. Le Coq Arena. This Levadia Tallinn vs Harju JK Laagri prediction points to a clear favorite: Levadia Tallinn has a 65% win probability, while the draw stands at 23% and Harju JK Laagri at 12%. The kick-off is set for 11:00 local time.

Team Form

Levadia Tallinn comes into this match in excellent shape. Their last five results are W, W, W, W, D. They beat Kuressaare 2-0 away on Oct 18, defeated Flora Tallinn 3-1 on Oct 15, and edged Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 at home on Oct 11. A 10-0 cup win against Keila on Oct 7 showed their attacking power, and a 1-1 draw at JK Narva Trans on Sep 20 is the only minor slip. At home, Levadia Tallinn has been dominant all season, with 11 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss in 15 league matches, scoring 47 goals and conceding just 7.

Harju JK Laagri is also in strong form, with a W, W, W, W, D run. They beat Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0 at home on Oct 18, Nomme United 2-0 on Oct 13, and won 1-0 at JK Nomme Kalju on Oct 10. A 10-0 cup victory at FC Tallinn on Oct 3 and a 0-0 home draw with Kuressaare on Sep 18 complete the picture. Away from home, Harju JK Laagri has 6 wins and 9 losses in 15 league games, with 18 goals scored and 26 conceded.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Levadia Tallinn. In 11 meetings, Levadia Tallinn has 8 wins, Harju JK Laagri has 1 win, and 2 matches ended in a draw. The last five encounters:

• Aug 16, 2026: Harju JK Laagri 1-2 Levadia Tallinn
• May 9, 2026: Levadia Tallinn 3-0 Harju JK Laagri
• Mar 15, 2026: Harju JK Laagri 1-3 Levadia Tallinn
• Nov 8, 2025: Harju JK Laagri 2-2 Levadia Tallinn
• Jul 19, 2025: Harju JK Laagri 0-3 Levadia Tallinn

Levadia Tallinn has scored 2 or more goals in four of those five games, and Harju JK Laagri has managed just one win in the entire history of this fixture.

League Table Positions

Levadia Tallinn sits 1st in the Meistriliiga with 81 points from 32 matches (25 wins, 6 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 87 goals and conceded only 22. Harju JK Laagri is 6th with 44 points (14 wins, 2 draws, 16 losses), with 45 goals for and 47 against. The gap of 37 points underlines the difference in quality. At home, Levadia Tallinn is the best team in the league; Harju JK Laagri's away record ranks 6th.

Win Probability: Levadia Tallinn or Harju JK Laagri?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: Levadia Tallinn 65%, draw 23%, Harju JK Laagri 12%. The bookmakers' odds (home 1.22, draw 3.25, away 6.50) already imply a strong home favorite, and the stats back that up. Levadia Tallinn's near-perfect home form, combined with Harju JK Laagri's struggles on the road and the lopsided H2H, make a home win the most likely outcome. Harju JK Laagri's recent good run adds some uncertainty, but the probability of an away upset remains low.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are 1.22 for a Levadia Tallinn win, 3.25 for a draw, and 6.50 for a Harju JK Laagri win. Bookmakers clearly see Levadia Tallinn as the favorite. Our Levadia Tallinn vs Harju JK Laagri prediction is a home victory. With Levadia Tallinn's defensive solidity at home and Harju JK Laagri's occasional scoring ability, a 2-0 or 3-1 scoreline looks plausible. For betting tips, the home win offers low value, but combining it with under/over goals or a handicap could be considered. Always check the latest team news before placing any bet.