Levadia Tallinn - Paide Linnameeskond prediction 11/10/2026

The Levadia Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond prediction for the Estonia Cup match on August 26, 2026, at 17:00 points to a home win. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Levadia Tallinn has a 58% chance of winning, the draw is at 22%, and Paide Linnameeskond has a 20% chance.

Team Form

Levadia Tallinn comes into this match with strong recent results. Their last five games show three wins, one draw, and one loss. In the Meistriliiga, they beat JK Narva Trans 4-0 on Aug 21, won 2-1 away at Harju JK Laagri on Aug 16, and crushed Nomme United 5-0 on Aug 09. A 1-1 draw at Parnu JK Vaprus on Aug 02 and a 0-1 home loss to IFK Goteborg in the UEFA Conference League Qualification on Jul 30 complete the picture. The team is scoring freely at home.

Paide Linnameeskond's form is more mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five. They beat Nomme United 4-1 at home on Aug 23 and Kuressaare 1-0 on Aug 02. A 1-1 draw at JK Narva Trans on Aug 16 was followed by two heavy defeats in the UEFA Conference League Qualification against Rapid Wien - 0-2 away on Aug 12 and 1-4 at home on Aug 06. The away form looks shaky.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Levadia Tallinn. In 48 previous meetings, Levadia Tallinn has 27 wins, Paide Linnameeskond has 9 wins, and there have been 12 draws. The most recent match on May 17, 2026, saw Levadia Tallinn win 3-1 away. Before that, a 2-2 draw on Mar 22, 2026. Paide Linnameeskond did win 2-1 away on Oct 22, 2025, but Levadia Tallinn won 3-0 away on Jul 04, 2025, and 2-1 at home on May 11, 2025. Levadia Tallinn has won three of the last five H2H matches.

League Table Positions

While this is a Cup match, the Meistriliiga form gives a clear picture. Levadia Tallinn sits higher in the domestic league and shows better consistency. Their goal difference in recent league games is impressive, while Paide Linnameeskond has struggled for clean sheets, especially on the road. The gap in quality between the two sides is reflected in the betting odds and the win probability.

Win Probability: Levadia Tallinn or Paide Linnameeskond?

Who will win Levadia Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond? The calculated win probability gives Levadia Tallinn a 58% chance, the draw a 22% chance, and Paide Linnameeskond a 20% chance. This is based on the inverse of the best available odds (1.40 for a home win, 4.23 for a draw, 4.50 for an away win), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for the strong home form and dominant H2H record. Levadia Tallinn is the clear favorite to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this match show Levadia Tallinn as the favorite. The best home win odds are as low as 1.40, with other bookmakers offering 1.53 and 1.65. The draw is priced around 2.65 to 4.23, and an away win for Paide Linnameeskond is between 2.85 and 4.50. These betting tips reflect the gap between the teams. Based on the stats, the Levadia Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond prediction is a home win. The form, H2H record, and odds all point to Levadia Tallinn having the best chance to win.